Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 7

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mandemakers Stadion (Waalwijk) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kamphuis J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, ESPN 1
Albania	16:45	SuperSport 4
Austria	16:45	DAZN
Belgium	16:45	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:45	Moja TV, Sportklub 4
Bulgaria	17:45	Ring, Voyo
Canada	10:45	Sportsnet Now, Sportsnet Now Plus, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now
Croatia	16:45	SportKlub 4
Finland	17:45	Veikkaus TV
Germany	16:45	DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	17:45	Nova Sports Start
Israel	17:45	Sport 4
Kazakhstan	20:45	Sport+
Kosovo	16:45	SuperSport 4
Montenegro	16:45	Sportklub 4
Netherlands	16:45	Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
North Macedonia	16:45	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 4
Poland	16:45	Polsat Sport Premium 5
Slovakia	16:45	Arena sport 1
South Africa	16:45	SuperSport ESPN
Switzerland	16:45	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	21:45	GMM 25
Usa	10:45	ESPN App, ESPN+
International	14:45	Disney+, Triller TV+


	Waalwijk		Ajax

	1	X	2
	6.5	5.75	1.38	Watch
	7.25	5.25	1.38
	7.9	5.4	1.35	Watch
	8.21	5.49	1.36
	7.15	5.32	1.38	Watch
	8	5.5	1.33
	7.6	5.4	1.36	Watch
	7.9	5.4	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.56 ↑ (6.61)	5.44 ↑ (4.9)	1.36 ↓ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Waalwijk
12.6%

Draw
17.5%

Ajax
69.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

14.3%

19.3%

66.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

19.1%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	3.7%	96.3%

Waalwijk - Ajax Predictions

Users Predictions: Ajax will win (25 of 26 users predict this - 96.15%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.75% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Houwen J. (G) 2. Lelieveld J. 4. Van Gelderen L. 3. Van den Buijs D. 5. Familia-Castillo J. 30. Weidmann D. 6. Oukili Y. 7. Cleonise D. 22. van de Loo T. 14. Lokesa C. 9. Zawada O. (C)	22. Pasveer R. (G) 2. Rensch D. 37. Sutalo J. 15. Baas Y. 4. Hato J. 18. Klaassen D. (C) 21. van den Boomen B. 8. Taylor K. 29. Rasmussen C. 9. Brobbey B. 49. Banel J.
Substitutes
35. Felida K. 52. Ihattaren M. 11. Jakobsen A. 13. Kesting J. (G) 19. Margaret R. 28. Meijers A. 10. Niemeijer R. 20. Takidine I. 21. van Osch Y. (G) 8. Vroegh P. 15. Wouters L.	10. Akpom Ch. 28. Fitz-Jim K. 11. Godts M. 12. Gorter J. (G) 6. Henderson J. 38. Hlynsson K. 13. Kaplan A. 40. Ramaj D. (G) 24. Rugani D. 33. Tahirovic B. 20. Traore B. 5. Wijndal O.
Coaches
Fraser H.	Farioli F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Van Gelderen L. 🟨,
36', Brobbey B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Cleonise D. ↓, Margaret R. ↑,
51', Familia-Castillo J. ↓, Meijers A. ↑,
56', Brobbey B. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,
56', Rasmussen C. ↓, Godts M. ↑,
57', Meijers A. 🟨,
65', Banel J. ↓, Fitz-Jim K. ↑,
65', Taylor K. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
76', 0 - 1, Traore B. ⚽,
80', van de Loo T. ↓, Jakobsen A. ↑,
80', Lokesa C. ↓, Ihattaren M. ↑,
84', Klaassen D. ↓, Henderson J. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 2, Godts M. ⚽, Traore B. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Waalwijk won 0.

Waalwijk has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ajax is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Waalwijk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ajax is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Waalwijk: Kramer M. (Red Card)

There will not play in Ajax: Berghuis S. (Injury) Gaaei A. (Injury) Mannsverk S. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Waalwijk: El Harmazi N. (Shoulder Injury) van der Venne R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Ajax: Avila G. (Knee Injury) van Axel Dongen A. (Knock)

Our prediction for today's Ajax to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Waalwijk won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 16 matches and goals 10-51.

Including matches at home between the teams Waalwijk won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 5-24.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RKC Waalwijk
Dutch Eredivisie
21.09.24	Waalwijk - Sparta Rotterdam	1:2 ✺
15.09.24	Willem II - Waalwijk	3:0 ✺
30.08.24	Waalwijk - AZ Alkmaar	0:3 ✺
25.08.24	Go Ahead Eagles - Waalwijk	2:0 ✺
17.08.24	Waalwijk - Groningen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Ajax Amsterdam
UEFA Europa League
26.09.24	Ajax - Beşiktaş	4:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
21.09.24	Go Ahead Eagles - Ajax	1:1 ✺
18.09.24	Ajax - Fortuna Sittard	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.08.24	Ajax - Jagiellonia Białystok	3:0 ✺
22.08.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Ajax	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
21.01.24	Ajax - Waalwijk	4:1
06.12.23	Waalwijk - Ajax	2:3
12.02.23	Ajax - Waalwijk	3:1
22.10.22	Waalwijk - Ajax	1:4
06.03.22	Ajax - Waalwijk	3:2
21.11.21	Waalwijk - Ajax	0:5
11.04.21	Waalwijk - Ajax	0:1

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