Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 19

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt)

Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Eintracht Frankfurt		Hoffenheim

	1	X	2
	3	3.6	2.2	Watch
	3.05	3.55	2.28	Watch
	3.17	3.66	2.29
	3.02	3.65	2.27	Watch
	3	3.4	2.2
	3.1	3.72	2.28	Watch
	3.1	3.6	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.41)	3.6 ↓ (3.86)	2.25 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eintracht Frankfurt
31.1%

Draw
26.5%

Hoffenheim
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

24.6%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

25.3%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eintracht Frankfurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eintracht Frankfurt's form might have worsened.

Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hoffenheim's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eintracht Frankfurt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hoffenheim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.6%	23.1%	51.3%

Eintracht Frankfurt - Hoffenheim Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Eintracht will win (votes: 10 - 25.6%). Hoffenheim will win (votes: 20 - 51.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 35.6% – 67%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +0.25 - Eintracht (1.88) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Hoffenheim (1.39) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 8 - 88.9%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Hoffenheim (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hoffenheim will win (10 of 13 users predict this - 76.92%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Eintracht (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Hoffenheim (votes: 16 - 69.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 8.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Kaua Santos (G) 34. Collins N. 4. Koch R. (C) 5. Amenda A. 13. Kristensen R. 15. Skhiri E. 8. Chaibi F. 21. Brown N. 20. Doan R. 42. Uzun C. Y. 25. Kalimuendo A.	1. Baumann O. (C) 5. Kabak O. 21. Hajdari A. 13. Bernardo 34. Coufal V. 7. Avdullahu L. 18. Burger W. 22. Prass A. 27. Kramaric A. 11. Asllani F. 33. Moerstedt M.
Substitutes
29. Amaimouni A. 19. Bahoya J. 27. Gotze M. 6. Hojlund O. 7. Knauff A. 26. Kosugi K. 16. Larsson H. 3. Theate A. 23. Zetterer M. (G)	25. Akpoguma K. 9. Bebou I. 10. Damar M. 15. Gendrey V. 2. Hranac R. 37. Philipp L. (G) 6. Promel G. 29. Toure B.
Coaches
Schmitt D.	Ilzer C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Kalimuendo A. ⚽, Uzun C. Y. (A),
44', Coufal V. 🟨,
45+2', Hajdari A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
52', 1 - 1, Moerstedt M. ⚽, Burger W. (A),
60', 1 - 2, Kabak O. ⚽, Burger W. (A),
61', Uzun C. Y. ↓, Knauff A. ↑,
61', Chaibi F. ↓, Larsson H. ↑,
65', 1 - 3, Amenda A. (Own goal),
67', Kramaric A. ↓, Promel G. ↑,
72', Collins N. ↓, Amaimouni A. ↑,
72', Kalimuendo A. ↓, Bahoya J. ↑,
76', Moerstedt M. ↓, Bebou I. ↑,
90', Avdullahu L. 🟨,
90+2', Asllani F. ↓, Damar M. ↑,
90+5', Bebou I. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eintracht won 4.

Eintracht is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hoffenheim is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Eintracht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Eintracht has had a series of away games.

Recently, Hoffenheim has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Eintracht: Batshuayi M. (Foot Injury) Baum E. (Injury) Burkardt J. (Calf Injury) Chandler T. (Ankle Injury) Ebnoutalib Y. (Injury)

There will not play in Hoffenheim: Campbell C. (Ankle Injury) Hlozek A. (Calf Injury) Machida K. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Eintracht won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:27. (average 1.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Eintracht won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:12. (average 1.9:1.2).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Eintracht Frankfurt: 0.46% Hoffenheim: 0.44%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9:10	-1	5
14	Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7:10	-3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eintracht Frankfurt
UEFA Champions League
21.01.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
16.01.26	Werder Bremen - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:3 ✺
13.01.26	Stuttgart - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:2 ✺
09.01.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund	3:3 ✺
20.12.25	Hamburger SV - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTLTT
- TSG Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga
17.01.26	Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen	1:0 ✺
14.01.26	Hoffenheim - Borussia Mönchengladbach	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
06.01.26	Hoffenheim - Heerenveen	Canceled ✺
German Bundesliga
20.12.25	Stuttgart - Hoffenheim	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Hoffenheim - Hamburger SV	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WW?TW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
30.08.25	Hoffenheim - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:3
26.01.25	Hoffenheim - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:2
31.08.24	Eintracht Frankfurt - Hoffenheim	3:1
10.03.24	Eintracht Frankfurt - Hoffenheim	3:1
21.10.23	Hoffenheim - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:3
06.05.23	Hoffenheim - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:1
09.11.22	Eintracht Frankfurt - Hoffenheim	4:2

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