Match Info

GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 5

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Holstein-Stadion (Kiel)

Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Holstein Kiel		Eintracht Frankfurt

	1	X	2
	4.1	4.2	1.75	Watch
	4	4.1	1.78
	4.2	4.2	1.78	Watch
	4.27	4.16	1.8
	4.33	4.16	1.79	Watch
	4.2	4	1.75	Watch
	4.27	4.32	1.82	Watch
	4.2	4.2	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.2 ↓ (4.34)	4.17 ↓ (4.19)	1.78 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holstein Kiel
22.9%

Draw
23.1%

Eintracht Frankfurt
54%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.1%

22.9%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

22.3%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Eintracht Frankfurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	12.8%	79.5%

Holstein Kiel - Eintracht Frankfurt Predictions

Users Predictions: Eintracht Frankfurt will win (30 of 38 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.99% – 91.91%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Weiner T. (G) 17. Becker T. 5. Johansson C. 14. Geschwill M. 8. Porath F. 24. Knudsen M. 23. Rosenboom L. 37. Gigovic A. 10. Holtby L. (C) 9. Pichler B. 18. Machino S.	40. Kaua Santos (G) 13. Kristensen R. 35. Tuta 4. Koch R. (C) 3. Theate A. 26. Dina Ebimbe J. 5. Amenda A. 16. Larsson H. 8. Chaibi F. 9. Matanovic I. 7. Marmoush O.
Substitutes
20. Arp J.-F. 21. Dahne T. (G) 6. Ivezic M. 33. Javorcek D. 3. Komenda M. 27. Puchacz T. 22. Remberg N. 15. Schulz M. 7. Skrzybski S.	21. Brown N. 22. Chandler T. 34. Collins N. 18. Dahoud M. 27. Gotze M. 33. Grahl J. (G) 36. Knauff A. 15. Skhiri E. 20. Uzun C. Y.
Coaches
Rapp M.	Toppmoller D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Marmoush O. ⚽, Tuta (A),
30', 1 - 1, Machino S. (Pen),
35', Amenda A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Amenda A. ↓, Dahoud M. ↑,
47', 1 - 2, Matanovic I. ⚽, Marmoush O. (A),
50', 2 - 2, Machino S. ⚽,
51', Porath F. 🟨,
60', Gigovic A. ↓, Remberg N. ↑,
65', 2 - 3, Marmoush O. ⚽,
67', Porath F. ↓, Skrzybski S. ↑,
68', Dina Ebimbe J. ↓, Uzun C. Y. ↑,
68', Matanovic I. ↓, Gotze M. ↑,
70', Koch R. 🟨,
74', 2 - 4, Tuta ⚽, Marmoush O. (A),
78', Machino S. ↓, Arp J.-F. ↑,
78', Johansson C. ↓, Puchacz T. ↑,
80', Larsson H. 🟨,
83', Chaibi F. ↓, Knauff A. ↑,
86', Larsson H. ↓, Skhiri E. ↑,

Preview

Holstein Kiel is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Eintracht is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Holstein Kiel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Eintracht is a favorite.

There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Erras P. (Head Injury) Kleine-Bekel C. (Surgery)

There will not play in Eintracht: Hojlund O. (Broken ankle) Loune M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Eintracht: Koch R. (Hip Injury) Kristensen R. (Knock) Trapp K. (Thigh Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holstein Kiel
German Bundesliga
21.09.24	Bochum - Holstein Kiel	2:2 ✺
14.09.24	Holstein Kiel - Bayern Munich	1:6 ✺
31.08.24	Holstein Kiel - Wolfsburg	0:2 ✺
24.08.24	Hoffenheim - Holstein Kiel	3:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
17.08.24	Alemannia Aachen - Holstein Kiel	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLLLW
- Eintracht Frankfurt
UEFA Europa League
26.09.24	Eintracht Frankfurt - Viktoria Plzeň	3:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
21.09.24	Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:0 ✺
14.09.24	Wolfsburg - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:2 ✺
31.08.24	Eintracht Frankfurt - Hoffenheim	3:1 ✺
24.08.24	Borussia Dortmund - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWWWL

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