The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Birmingham City 35.7%
Draw 30.4%
Bournemouth 33.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.1%
29.4%
40.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.1%
19.6%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Birmingham City's performance.
Bournemouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bournemouth might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Birmingham City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bournemouth, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15.5%
28.2%
56.3%
Birmingham City - Bournemouth Predictions
Users Predictions:
71 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 11 - 15.5%). Bournemouth will win (votes: 40 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 28.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bournemouth: 44.8% – 67.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Birmingham has the most likely position - 15 (5.4%), has project points - 61, has currently - 4, has a small chance of relegated (10%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (15%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
Bournemouth has the most likely position - 1 (16.8%), has project points - 82, has currently - 4, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (35%), has a chance of promoted (42%), has a chance of win league (17%).
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Birmingham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11-26.
Including matches at home between the teams Birmingham won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-19.
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