Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 11 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Disney+


	Bournemouth		West Bromwich Albion

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	6
	1.49	4.5	6.25
	1.5	4.5	6.5
	1.41	4.74	7.23
	1.5	4.49	5.72	Watch
	1.44	4.33	6
	1.51	4.36	6.03	Watch
	1.5	4.5	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.41)	4.47 ↓ (4.67)	6.28 ↓ (7.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bournemouth
63.8%

Draw
21.1%

West Bromwich Albion
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

20.2%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

19.5%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bournemouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

West Bromwich Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bournemouth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Bromwich Albion than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Bournemouth - West Bromwich Albion Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Bournemouth will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). West Bromwich will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bournemouth: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 23. Hill J. 27. Zabarnyi I. 2. Huijsen D. 20. Soler J. C. 12. Adams T. 47. Winterburn B. 37. Aarons M. 7. Brooks D. (C) 19. Kluivert J. 11. Ouattara Da.	23. Wildsmith J. (G) 2. Furlong D. (C) 3. Holgate M. 15. Taylor C. 4. Styles C. 27. Mowatt A. 20. Racic U. 31. Fellows T. 10. Swift J. 11. Diangana G. 18. Grant K.
Substitutes
45. Akinmboni M. 4. Cook L. 40. Dennis W. (G) 21. Jebbison D. 3. Kerkez M. 48. Kinsey-Wellings M. 51. Rees-Dottin R. 24. Semenyo A. 42. Travers M. (G)	37. Bostock O. 30. Cann T. (G) 44. Cole D. 17. Diakite O. 24. Frabotta G. 14. Heggem T. 22. Johnston M. 8. Molumby J. 7. Wallace J.
Coaches
Iraola A.	Brunt C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Taylor C. ⚽,
18', Holgate M. 🟨,
27', 1 - 1, Kluivert J. ⚽,
34', 2 - 1, Ouattara Da. ⚽, Kluivert J. (A),
44', 3 - 1, Ouattara Da. ⚽, Brooks D. (A),
45+1', Taylor C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Aarons M. ↓, Semenyo A. ↑,
47', 4 - 1, Semenyo A. ⚽, Brooks D. (A),
54', Racic U. ↓, Molumby J. ↑,
54', Mowatt A. ↓, Diakite O. ↑,
60', Semenyo A. 🟨,
61', Furlong D. 🟨,
63', Fellows T. ↓, Wallace J. ↑,
63', Swift J. ↓, Johnston M. ↑,
67', Kluivert J. ↓, Jebbison D. ↑,
77', Brooks D. ↓, Kerkez M. ↑,
77', Grant K. ↓, Cole D. ↑,
89', Ouattara Da. ↓, Rees-Dottin R. ↑,
89', Adams T. ↓, Kinsey-Wellings M. ↑,
90+2', 5 - 1, Jebbison D. ⚽, Semenyo A. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bournemouth won 1.

Bournemouth is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches West Bromwich is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

West Bromwich could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bournemouth is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Bournemouth won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:11 (average 1.1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Bournemouth won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Bournemouth
English Premier League
04.01.25	Bournemouth - Everton	1:0 ✺
29.12.24	Fulham - Bournemouth	2:2 ✺
26.12.24	Bournemouth - Crystal Palace	0:0 ✺
22.12.24	Manchester United - Bournemouth	0:3 ✺
16.12.24	Bournemouth - West Ham United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTTWT
- West Bromwich Albion
English League Championship
04.01.25	Swansea City - West Bromwich Albion	1:1 ✺
01.01.25	West Bromwich Albion - Preston North End	3:1 ✺
29.12.24	Sheffield United - West Bromwich Albion	1:1 ✺
26.12.24	Derby County - West Bromwich Albion	2:1 ✺
22.12.24	West Bromwich Albion - Bristol City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
06.04.22	West Bromwich Albion - Bournemouth	2:0
06.08.21	Bournemouth - West Bromwich Albion	2:2
Club Friendly
26.07.19	West Bromwich Albion - Bournemouth	0:0
English Premier League
17.03.18	Bournemouth - West Bromwich Albion	2:1
12.08.17	West Bromwich Albion - Bournemouth	1:0
25.02.17	West Bromwich Albion - Bournemouth	2:1
10.09.16	Bournemouth - West Bromwich Albion	1:0

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