Match Info

Premier League - Round 15

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth)

Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 5, DStv Now, Supersport Action
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Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria
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Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5
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Brazil	Disney+, Xsports
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Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 7 DRM, FuboTV
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 4
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 8, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1
Hungary	Match 4
Iceland	SÝN Sport 3
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 2
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Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport MIX
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
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Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Sooka
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Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
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Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+ Action
World	Sport 24 Extra


	Bournemouth		Chelsea

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.8	2
	3.35	3.9	2.05
	3.4	3.85	2.11
	3.41	4.03	2.04	Watch
	3.3	3.5	2.05
	3.42	3.85	2.16	Watch
	3.25	3.75	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (2.96)	3.81 ↑ (3.61)	2.07 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bournemouth
28.5%

Draw
25.2%

Chelsea
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

26.5%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

25.9%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bournemouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.4%	17.6%	75%

Bournemouth - Chelsea Predictions

Users Predictions: 61 users predict this event. Bournemouth will win (votes: 5 - 8.2%). Chelsea will win (votes: 48 - 78.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 13.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 68.4% – 89%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Chelsea (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Bournemouth (2.49) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Bournemouth (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chelsea will win (23 of 25 users predict this - 92%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Bournemouth (votes: 4 - 13.8%). Chelsea (votes: 24 - 82.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Petrovic D. (G) 15. Smith A. (C) 18. Diakite B. 5. Senesi M. 3. Truffert A. 8. Scott A. 20. Jimenez A. 16. Tavernier M. 19. Kluivert J. 24. Semenyo A. 9. Evanilson	1. Sanchez R. (G) 27. Gusto M. 29. Fofana W. 23. Chalobah T. 3. Cucurella M. 24. James R. (C) 8. Fernandez E. 7. Neto P. 10. Palmer C. 49. Garnacho A. 9. Delap L.
Substitutes
21. Adli A. 2. Araujo J. 7. Brooks D. 51. Dacosta Gonzalez M. 40. Dennis W. (G) 23. Hill J. 22. Kroupi E. J. 6. Soler J. 26. Unal E.	34. Acheampong J. 17. Andrey Santos 5. Badiashile B. 41. Estêvão 11. Gittens J. 38. Guiu M. 21. Hato J. 20. Joao Pedro 12. Jorgensen F. (G)
Coaches
Iraola A.	Maresca E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Delap L. ↓, Guiu M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Palmer C. ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
62', Senesi M. ↓, Hill J. ↑,
74', Kluivert J. ↓, Brooks D. ↑,
74', Jimenez A. ↓, Adli A. ↑,
77', Garnacho A. ↓, Estêvão ↑,
85', Guiu M. 🟨,
88', Evanilson ↓, Unal E. ↑,
90+1', Neto P. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth won 0.

Bournemouth is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Chelsea is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bournemouth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Chelsea might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Bournemouth: Adams T. (Yellow Cards) Akinmboni M. (Muscle Injury) Christie R. (Knee Injury) Cook L. (Red Card) Doak B. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Chelsea: Caicedo M. (Red Card) Colwill L. (Knee Injury) Essugo D. (Thigh Injury) Lavia R. (Thigh Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 19:30. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Bournemouth won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1.1:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Bournemouth
English Premier League
02.12.25	Bournemouth - Everton	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Sunderland - Bournemouth	3:2 ✺
22.11.25	Bournemouth - West Ham United	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Aston Villa - Bournemouth	4:0 ✺
02.11.25	Manchester City - Bournemouth	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL
- Chelsea
English Premier League
03.12.25	Leeds United - Chelsea	3:1 ✺
30.11.25	Chelsea - Arsenal	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.11.25	Chelsea - Barcelona	3:0 ✺
English Premier League
22.11.25	Burnley - Chelsea	0:2 ✺
08.11.25	Chelsea - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
14.01.25	Chelsea - Bournemouth	2:2
14.09.24	Bournemouth - Chelsea	0:1
19.05.24	Chelsea - Bournemouth	2:1
17.09.23	Bournemouth - Chelsea	0:0
06.05.23	Bournemouth - Chelsea	1:3
27.12.22	Chelsea - Bournemouth	2:0
Club Friendly
27.07.21	Bournemouth - Chelsea	1:2

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