Match Info

Championship - Round 20

Date: 9 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Loftus Road (London)

Referee: Bell J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Sports 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Hungary	Match 4
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	Viaplay
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 2
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	Exxen
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Queens Park Rangers		Birmingham City

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.3	2.4	Watch
	2.86	3.45	2.42	Watch
	2.94	3.45	2.48
	2.86	3.43	2.43	Watch
	2.8	3.2	2.4
	2.83	3.3	2.43	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.75)	3.36 ↑ (3.3)	2.43 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Queens Park Rangers
33.1%

Draw
28%

Birmingham City
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

28.6%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

29.4%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Queens Park Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	23.8%	33.3%

Queens Park Rangers - Birmingham City Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. QPR will win (votes: 9 - 42.9%). Birmingham will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for QPR: 21.7% – 64.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. QPR (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Birmingham (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - QPR (1.53) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. QPR (votes: 3 - 30%). Birmingham (votes: 4 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nardi P. (G) 27. Mbengue A. S. 3. Dunne J. (C) 5. Cook S. 18. Norrington-Davies R. 11. Smyth P. 40. Varane J. 24. Madsen N. 14. Saito K. 22. Kone R. 16. Burrell R.	25. Beadle J. (G) 26. Osayi-Samuel B. 5. Neumann P. 4. Klarer C. (C) 6. Robinson J. 24. Iwata T. 8. Paik Seung-Ho 16. Roberts P. 28. Stansfield J. 10. Gray D. 33. Ducksch M.
Substitutes
23. Bennie D. 7. Dembele K. 28. Esquerdinha 12. Frey M. 29. Hamer B. (G) 15. Hayden I. 21. Morgan K. 4. Morrison L. 17. Poku K.	21. Allsop R. (G) 14. Anderson K. 41. Cashin E. 7. Doyle T. 17. Dykes L. 9. Furuhashi K. 30. Koumas L. 12. Leonard M. 23. Sampsted A.
Coaches
Stephan J.	Davies C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Dunne J. ⚽, Saito K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Osayi-Samuel B. ↓, Doyle T. ↑,
46', Ducksch M. ↓, Furuhashi K. ↑,
67', Smyth P. ↓, Dembele K. ↑,
68', Stansfield J. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
68', Robinson J. ↓, Cashin E. ↑,
79', Saito K. ↓, Poku K. ↑,
80', Paik Seung-Ho 🟨,
82', Neumann P. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
86', Mbengue A. S. ↓, Morgan K. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, Roberts P. ⚽, Gray D. (A),
90+7', 2 - 1, Morgan K. ⚽, Varane J. (A),
90+8', Morgan K. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 10 and 8)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, QPR won 2.

QPR is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Birmingham has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in QPR: Field S. (Injury) Hamer B. (Injury) Kolli R. (Muscle Injury) Larkeche Z. (Knee Injury) Vale H. (Inactive)

There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Laird E. (Hamstring Injury) Willumsson W. T. (Muscle Injury) Wright S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in QPR: Chair I. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, QPR won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:19. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, QPR won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Queens Park Rangers - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 34.34%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Queens Park Rangers
English League Championship
06.12.25	Queens Park Rangers - West Bromwich Albion	3:1 ✺
29.11.25	Norwich City - Queens Park Rangers	3:1 ✺
26.11.25	Blackburn Rovers - Queens Park Rangers	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Queens Park Rangers - Hull City	3:2 ✺
08.11.25	Sheffield United - Queens Park Rangers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WLWWT
- Birmingham City
English League Championship
06.12.25	Southampton - Birmingham City	3:1 ✺
01.12.25	Birmingham City - Watford	2:1 ✺
26.11.25	West Bromwich Albion - Birmingham City	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Birmingham City - Norwich City	4:1 ✺
08.11.25	Middlesbrough - Birmingham City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
29.03.24	Queens Park Rangers - Birmingham City	2:1
22.09.23	Birmingham City - Queens Park Rangers	0:0
18.03.23	Queens Park Rangers - Birmingham City	0:1
28.10.22	Birmingham City - Queens Park Rangers	2:0
02.01.22	Birmingham City - Queens Park Rangers	1:2
28.09.21	Queens Park Rangers - Birmingham City	2:0
27.02.21	Birmingham City - Queens Park Rangers	2:1

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