Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	18:45	SuperSport 2
Australia	04:45	Optus Sport
Belgium	18:45	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	14:45	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	19:45	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	12:45	SportsNet 1, Sportsnet Now, Sportsnet Now Plus, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now
China	01:45	Migu
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	18:45	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	18:45	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	19:45	Viaplay, V Sport 2, V Sport Fotbool
Greece	19:45	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hungary	18:45	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	17:45	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
India	23:15	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	19:45	Sport 1
Japan	02:45	U-NEXT
Kosovo	18:45	SuperSport 2
Kyrgyzstan	23:45	KTRK Sports
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:45	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka
Malta	18:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 3, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	11:45	Amazon Prime Video, FOX Sports Premium
Mongolia	01:45	Premier Sports 1
Montenegro	18:45	Arena Premium 3
Netherlands	18:45	Viaplay
New Zealand	06:45	Sky Sport 5, TVWan
North Macedonia	18:45	Arena Premium 3
Norway	18:45	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	17:45	Sport TV2
Serbia	18:45	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	01:45	StarHub TV+
Slovakia	18:45	Voyo
Slovenia	18:45	Arena Sport 3
South Africa	19:45	SuperSport Premier League
South Korea	02:45	Coupang Play
Sweden	18:45	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Taiwan	01:45	ELTA Sports 3
Thailand	00:45	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	20:45	Tabii
Ukraine	19:45	Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	17:45	BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio, BBC Sport
Usa	12:45	ESPN App, ESPN+, SiriusXM FC
Vietnam	00:45	FPT Play
International	17:45	Disney+


	Birmingham City		Newcastle United

	1	X	2
	4.33	4.1	1.75
	4.6	4	1.68
	4.75	4.33	1.66
	4.8	4.25	1.68
	4.89	4.13	1.7	Watch
	4.6	3.9	1.67
	4.99	4.17	1.71	Watch
	4.75	4.33	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.71 ↓ (6.1)	4.15 ↓ (4.89)	1.69 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Birmingham City
20.3%

Draw
23%

Newcastle United
56.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15.6%

19.4%

65.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

19%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Newcastle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newcastle United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newcastle United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Birmingham City - Newcastle United Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Newcastle will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Peacock-Farrell B. (G) 2. Laird E. 4. Klarer C. (C) 25. Davies B. 20. Cochrane A. 24. Iwata T. 12. Leonard M. 11. Wright S. 30. Dowell K. 14. Anderson K. 28. Stansfield J.	22. Pope N. (G) 21. Livramento V. 17. Krafth E. 33. Burn D. 13. Targett M. 67. Miley L. 39. Bruno Guimaraes (C) 36. Longstaff S. 18. Osula W. 9. Wilson C. 28. Willock J.
Substitutes
21. Allsop R. (G) 6. Bielik K. 17. Dykes L. 31. Hanley G. 26. Harris L. 10. Jutkiewicz L. 9. May A. 23. Sampsted A. 18. Willumsson W. T.	1. Dubravka M. (G) 20. Hall L. 14. Isak A. 23. Murphy J. 78. Neave S. 26. Ruddy J. (G) 5. Schar F. 8. Tonali S. 2. Trippier K.
Coaches
Davies C.	Howe E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
1', 1 - 0, Laird E. ⚽, Anderson K. (A),
14', Burn D. 🟨,
21', 1 - 1, Willock J. ⚽, Osula W. (A),
26', 1 - 2, Wilson C. ⚽, Osula W. (A),
40', 2 - 2, Iwata T. ⚽,
45+3', Osula W. 🟨,
45+3', Anderson K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bruno Guimaraes ↓, Tonali S. ↑,
55', Wilson C. ↓, Murphy J. ↑,
55', Burn D. ↓, Schar F. ↑,
62', Leonard M. ↓, Willumsson W. T. ↑,
66', Stansfield J. 🟨,
68', Willock J. 🟨,
71', Klarer C. 🟨,
75', Willumsson W. T. 🟨,
76', Stansfield J. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
76', Anderson K. ↓, May A. ↑,
77', Wright S. ↓, Bielik K. ↑,
82', 2 - 3, Willock J. ⚽, Longstaff S. (A),
84', Iwata T. ↓, Hanley G. ↑,
90+14', Osula W. ↓, Isak A. ↑,

Preview

Birmingham in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Newcastle is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Birmingham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Newcastle have a series of home games.

In this match Newcastle is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:8 (average 0.5:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Birmingham won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham City
English EFL Trophy
04.02.25	Stevenage Borough - Birmingham City	0:1 ✺
English League One
01.02.25	Birmingham City - Rotherham United	2:1 ✺
28.01.25	Huddersfield Town - Birmingham City	0:1 ✺
23.01.25	Wrexham - Birmingham City	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Birmingham City - Exeter City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWTW
- Newcastle United
English League Cup
05.02.25	Newcastle United - Arsenal	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
01.02.25	Newcastle United - Fulham	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	Southampton - Newcastle United	1:3 ✺
18.01.25	Newcastle United - Bournemouth	1:4 ✺
15.01.25	Newcastle United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
18.03.17	Birmingham City - Newcastle United	0:0
English FA Cup
18.01.17	Newcastle United - Birmingham City	3:1
07.01.17	Birmingham City - Newcastle United	1:1
English League Championship
10.12.16	Newcastle United - Birmingham City	4:0

Upcoming Matches