Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL Trophy - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 18 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham)

Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	NOW
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV2
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports+


	Birmingham City		Bradford City

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	7.5	Watch
	1.35	4.5	8.5	Watch
	1.34	4.84	9.52
	1.36	4.6	8.91	Watch
	1.44	4	6
	1.37	4.86	7.67	Watch
	1.33	4.75	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.45)	4.61 ↑ (4.2)	8.09 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham City
68.4%

Draw
20.1%

Bradford City
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

21.8%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

20.6%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Birmingham City's performance.

Bradford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	14.3%	7.1%

Birmingham City - Bradford City Predictions

Users Predictions: Birmingham City will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Allsop R. (G) 19. Gardner-Hickman T. 4. Klarer C. (C) 25. Davies B. 20. Cochrane A. 13. Paik Seung-Ho 24. Iwata T. 30. Dowell K. 18. Willumsson W. T. 11. Wright S. 28. Stansfield J.	1. Walker S. (G) 15. Baldwin A. 24. Shepherd J. 30. Crichlow-Noble R. 2. Halliday B. 16. Pattison A. 6. Smallwood R. 17. Wright T. 10. Sarcevic A. 23. Pointon B. 7. Walker J.
Substitutes
14. Anderson K. 6. Bielik K. 17. Dykes L. 31. Hanley G. 2. Laird E. 9. May A. 45. Peacock-Farrell B. (G)	27. Benn J. 5. Byrne N. 25. Hilton J. (G) 20. Huntington P. 29. Ibbitson H. 22. Johnson C. 12. Oduor C.
Coaches
Davies C.	Alexander G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Halliday B. 🟨,
34', Cochrane A. 🟨,
45+2', Wright T. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 0, Stansfield J. ⚽, Dowell K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 1 - 1, Pointon B. ⚽, Sarcevic A. (A),
59', Stansfield J. ↓, May A. ↑,
60', Wright S. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
60', Gardner-Hickman T. ↓, Laird E. ↑,
80', Dowell K. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Dykes L. ⚽, Iwata T. (A),
90+2', Halliday B. ↓, Johnson C. ↑,
90+3', Willumsson W. T. ↓, Hanley G. ↑,
90+6', Smallwood R. 🟨,
90+9', Walker J. ↓, Ibbitson H. ↑,

Preview

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Recently Birmingham have a series of home games.

In this match Birmingham is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Birmingham to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham City
English League One
15.02.25	Birmingham City - Charlton Athletic	1:0 ✺
11.02.25	Birmingham City - Cambridge United	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
08.02.25	Birmingham City - Newcastle United	2:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
04.02.25	Stevenage Borough - Birmingham City	0:1 ✺
English League One
01.02.25	Birmingham City - Rotherham United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWW
- Bradford City
English League Two
15.02.25	Newport County - Bradford City	0:0 ✺
11.02.25	Bradford City - Accrington Stanley	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Bradford City - Harrogate Town	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
04.02.25	Rotherham United - Bradford City	0:1 ✺
English League Two
01.02.25	AFC Wimbledon - Bradford City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWWWL

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