Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Protective Stadium (Birmingham, AL)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Birmingham Legion		Oakland Roots

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.78	3.4	3.75
	1.74	3.92	4.4
				Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.8
	1.83	3.62	3.86	Watch
	2	3.5	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.04)	3.55 ↑ (3.52)	3.86 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham Legion
50.1%

Draw
26%

Oakland Roots
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

26.3%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

26.1%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Oakland Roots has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oakland Roots than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Birmingham Legion - Oakland Roots Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Oakland Roots (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Oakland Roots (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Birmingham Legion will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 2 - 50%). Oakland Roots (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Van Oekel M. (G) 2. Turnbull S. 13. Rufe J. 3. Kavita P. 20. Paterson AJ 33. Mensah M. 19. Martinez E. (C) 8. Hernandez-Foster K. 17. Laszo E. 7. Trejo D. 9. Damus R.	1. McIntosh K. (C) 33. Greene K. 4. Margvelashvili G. 15. Hackshaw N. 30. Doner M. 12. Gibson T. 25. Damm J. 45. Elmasnaouy A. 11. Sinisterra J. 7. Prentice W. 9. Wilson P.
Substitutes
57. Delgado F. (G) 6. McIllhatton S. 15. Pasher T. 10. Preston T. 23. Saucedo S. 43. Suarez S. 21. Tregarthen S.	88. Alekseev I. 10. Armenakas P. 3. Bravo J. 6. Gomez D. 22. Johnson E. 5. Riley C. 35. Spiegel R. (G)
Coaches
Briggs M.	Feilhaber B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Laszo E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 0 - 1, Greene K. (Pen),
58', Trejo D. 🟨,
60', Laszo E. ↓, Pasher T. ↑,
60', Trejo D. ↓, Preston T. ↑,
69', Wilson P. ↓, Armenakas P. ↑,
72', Mensah M. ↓, Tregarthen S. ↑,
75', Damus R. ↓, Saucedo S. ↑,
76', Hernandez-Foster K. ↓, McIllhatton S. ↑,
80', Damm J. ↓, Bravo J. ↑,
85', Prentice W. ↓, Alekseev I. ↑,
85', Sinisterra J. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 and 12).

Birmingham has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Oakland Roots has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Birmingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Birmingham is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 2.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Birmingham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham Legion
USL Championship
18.06.25	Birmingham Legion - Sacramento Republic	1:0 ✺
14.06.25	Louisville City - Birmingham Legion	4:2 ✺
04.06.25	Birmingham Legion - Indy Eleven	0:1 ✺
USL Cup
31.05.25	Tulsa - Birmingham Legion	1:2 ✺
USL Championship
24.05.25	Miami - Birmingham Legion	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLLWW
- Oakland Roots
USL Championship
14.06.25	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Oakland Roots	1:0 ✺
07.06.25	Oakland Roots - El Paso Locomotive	0:0 ✺
USL Cup
31.05.25	AV Alta - Oakland Roots	3:2 penalties ✺
USL Championship
24.05.25	Oakland Roots - New Mexico United	0:3 ✺
16.05.25	North Carolina - Oakland Roots	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
26.10.24	Oakland Roots - Birmingham Legion	0:5
06.05.23	Birmingham Legion - Oakland Roots	1:4
01.10.22	Oakland Roots - Birmingham Legion	2:1

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