Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Lancaster Municipal Stadium (Lancaster, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	AV Alta		Oakland Roots

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.4	3.3	2.45
	2.63	3.4	2.6
	2.24	3.6	2.76	Watch
	2.25	3.36	2.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.21)	3.42 ↓ (3.55)	2.65 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AV Alta
38.5%

Draw
26.9%

Oakland Roots
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

25.7%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

24.9%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AV Alta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Oakland Roots has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AV Alta than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oakland Roots than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

AV Alta - Oakland Roots Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Avilez C. (G) 19. Cruz S. 44. Pehlivanov K. 35. Robledo H. 45. Ramos S. 16. Ceja E. 6. Lay O. 10. Ibarra M. 30. Blancas E. 17. Mariona J. 11. Cerritos A.	35. Spiegel R. (G) 33. Greene K. 15. Hackshaw N. 4. Margvelashvili G. 25. Damm J. 18. Byaruhanga B. 12. Gibson T. 88. Alekseev I. 11. Sinisterra J. 10. Armenakas P. 22. Johnson E.
Substitutes
5. Alassane M. 18. Aoumaich A. 7. Desdunes J. 27. Doumbia D. (G) 34. Huerta A. 3. Martin E. 4. Mastrantonio L. 2. Ortiz C. 31. Villafranco A.	30. Doner M. 45. Elmasnaouy A. 2. Njie B. 7. Prentice W. 5. Riley C. 60. Syrel T. (G) 9. Wilson P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Byaruhanga B. 🟨,
39', Lay O. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
57', 1 - 0, Cruz S. ⚽, Blancas E. (A),
58', Johnson E. ↓, Wilson P. ↑,
58', Damm J. ↓, Doner M. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Avilez C. (Own goal),
63', 1 - 2, Wilson P. ⚽, Doner M. (A),
63', Ibarra M. ↓, Desdunes J. ↑,
65', Alekseev I. ↓, Njie B. ↑,
65', Sinisterra J. ↓, Prentice W. ↑,
67', Lay O. ↓, Alassane M. ↑,
68', Robledo H. ↓, Aoumaich A. ↑,
70', Margvelashvili G. 🟨,
76', Margvelashvili G. ↓, Riley C. ↑,
78', Ramos S. ↓, Martin E. ↑,
79', Mariona J. ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 2, Alassane M. ⚽,
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, Njie B. (Pen),
1, Blancas E. (Pen),
2, Greene K. (Pen),
2, Cerritos A. (Pen),
3, Hackshaw N. (Pen),
3, Cruz S. (Pen),
4, Wilson P. (Pen),
4, Pehlivanov K. (Pen),

Preview

Alta has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Oakland Roots is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Oakland Roots may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AV Alta FC
USL League One
24.05.25	AV Alta - Charlotte Independence	2:1 ✺
17.05.25	Greenville Triumph - AV Alta	2:2 ✺
10.05.25	AV Alta - Texoma	0:0 ✺
US Open Cup
07.05.25	FC Dallas - AV Alta	3:1 ✺
USL Cup
30.04.25	Las Vegas Lights - AV Alta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTTLL
- Oakland Roots
USL Championship
24.05.25	Oakland Roots - New Mexico United	0:3 ✺
16.05.25	North Carolina - Oakland Roots	4:2 ✺
10.05.25	San Antonio - Oakland Roots	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Oakland Roots - Sacramento Republic	0:1 ✺
USL Cup
27.04.25	Spokane Velocity - Oakland Roots	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWLL

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