Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Heart Health Park (Sacramento, CA)

Referee: Meyer B. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS, Paramount+


	Sacramento Republic		Indy Eleven

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.78	3.3	3.9
	1.88	3.5	3.85
	1.85	3.8	3.82
	1.86	3.68	3.91	Watch
	1.8	3.58	4.07	Watch
	1.88	3.5	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.94)	3.56 ↑ (3.49)	3.9 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sacramento Republic
50.3%

Draw
26%

Indy Eleven
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

26.5%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

26%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Sacramento Republic - Indy Eleven Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sacramento Republic will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Indy will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sacramento Republic (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vitiello D. (C) 4. Desmond L. 6. Kleemann F. 5. Timmer J. 2. Gurr J. 96. Luis Felipe 8. Lopez R. 22. Benitez M. 17. Wanner D. 9. Herrera J. 10. Parano C.	98. Sulte H. (G) 30. Ofeimu B. 3. Hogan P. 41. Musa J. 2. O'Brien J. 5. Murphy J. 14. Quinn A. 16. Stanley A. 8. Blake J. 22. Amoh E. 99. Foster M.
Substitutes
7. Amann T. 21. Djedje R. 23. Edwards A. 24. Jamieson L. 99. Mazzola J. (G) 19. Ross N. 3. Spaulding R. 55. Ukaegbu C. 20. Willey B.	23. Charles-Cook R. (G) 18. Collier E. 19. Kizza E. 6. Lindley C. 4. McRobb F. 17. Neidlinger L. 9. Williams R.
Coaches
Collins N.	McAuley S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Timmer J. 🟨,
20', O'Brien J. 🟨,
33', Parano C. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Amoh E. ⚽, Quinn A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Luis Felipe ↓, Ross N. ↑,
58', Musa J. 🟨,
67', Parano C. ↓, Jamieson L. ↑,
70', Foster M. ↓, Kizza E. ↑,
70', Amoh E. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
77', Kleemann F. ↓, Spaulding R. ↑,
77', Lopez R. ↓, Willey B. ↑,
84', Herrera J. ↓, Amann T. ↑,
86', Quinn A. ↓, McRobb F. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 1, Amann T. (Pen),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

Sacramento Republic is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Indy has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Sacramento Republic is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Sacramento Republic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sacramento Republic FC
US Open Cup
07.05.25	San Jose Earthquakes - Sacramento Republic	2:1 ✺
USL Championship
04.05.25	Oakland Roots - Sacramento Republic	0:1 ✺
USL Cup
26.04.25	Sacramento Republic - AV Alta	1:0 ✺
USL Championship
19.04.25	Phoenix Rising - Sacramento Republic	2:2 ✺
US Open Cup
16.04.25	Sacramento Republic - El Farolito	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWTW
- Indy Eleven
US Open Cup
07.05.25	Philadelphia Union - Indy Eleven	2:1 penalties ✺
USL Championship
03.05.25	Indy Eleven - Detroit City	2:2 ✺
USL Cup
26.04.25	Forward Madison - Indy Eleven	0:4 ✺
USL Championship
19.04.25	Indy Eleven - Charleston Battery	1:3 ✺
US Open Cup
16.04.25	Indy Eleven - Miami	1:0 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
23.03.24	Indy Eleven - Sacramento Republic	1:1
13.05.23	Sacramento Republic - Indy Eleven	3:1

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