Match Info

Date: 30 April 2022, Saturday


	Blackburn Rovers		Bournemouth

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	2.3
	2.9	3.4	2.37
	3	3.55	2.35
	2.95	3.35	2.31
	3.07	3.58	2.37
	3	3.3	2.3
	3.06	3.56	2.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↓ (3.06)	3.46 ↑ (3.2)	2.33 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blackburn Rovers
31.7%

Draw
27.5%

Bournemouth
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

29.3%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

28.8%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blackburn Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Bournemouth aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.2%	6.2%	62.5%

Blackburn Rovers - Bournemouth Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Blackburn will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Bournemouth will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bournemouth: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Blackburn has the most likely position - 9 (31.13%), has project points - 68, has currently - 66, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (4%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Bournemouth has the most likely position - 2 (76.14%), has project points - 84, has currently - 79, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (23%), has a good chance of promoted (84%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 50, importance 49, match rating 50. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Blackburn won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Bournemouth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Blackburn won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Blackburn won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blackburn Rovers
English League Championship
25.04.22	Preston North End - Blackburn Rovers	1:4 ✺
18.04.22	Blackburn Rovers - Stoke City	0:1 ✺
15.04.22	Peterborough United - Blackburn Rovers	2:1 ✺
09.04.22	Blackburn Rovers - Blackpool	1:1 ✺
02.04.22	Coventry City - Blackburn Rovers	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLTT
- AFC Bournemouth
English League Championship
26.04.22	Swansea City - Bournemouth	3:3 ✺
23.04.22	Bournemouth - Fulham	0:1 ✺
18.04.22	Coventry City - Bournemouth	0:3 ✺
15.04.22	Bournemouth - Middlesbrough	0:0 ✺
09.04.22	Sheffield United - Bournemouth	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
11.12.21	Bournemouth - Blackburn Rovers	0:2
05.04.21	Blackburn Rovers - Bournemouth	0:2
12.09.20	Bournemouth - Blackburn Rovers	3:2
English League Cup
25.09.18	Bournemouth - Blackburn Rovers	3:2
English League Championship
28.02.15	Bournemouth - Blackburn Rovers	0:0
23.08.14	Blackburn Rovers - Bournemouth	3:2
12.03.14	Blackburn Rovers - Bournemouth	0:1

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