Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL CUP - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 29 August 2023, Tuesday

Location: Swansea.com Stadium (Swansea)

Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)


	Swansea City		Bournemouth

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.6	2
	3.25	3.5	2.1
	3.66	3.79	2.01
	3	3.25	2.05
	3.46	3.78	2	Watch
	3.4	3.6	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (3.17)	3.59 ↑ (3.5)	2.04 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swansea City
27.5%

Draw
26.2%

Bournemouth
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

26.8%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

27.2%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	8.3%	83.3%

Swansea City - Bournemouth Predictions

Users Predictions: Bournemouth will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Rushworth C. (G) 26. Naughton K. 5. Cabango B. 6. Darling H. 47. Abdulai A. 7. Allen J. 8. Grimes M. (C) 2. Key J. 31. Cooper O. 20. Cullen L. 11. Ginnelly J.	20. Radu I. (G) 37. Aarons M. 6. Mepham C. 25. Senesi M. 5. Kelly L. 29. Billing P. 8. Rothwell J. 7. Brooks D. (C) 22. Traore H. J. 32. Anthony J. 21. Moore K.
Substitutes
30. Ashby H. 16. Cooper B. 1. Fisher A. (G) 4. Fulton J. 19. Kukharevych M. 12. Paterson J. 18. Patino C. 23. Wood N. 9. Yates J.	10. Christie R. 4. Cook L. 23. Hill J. 3. Kerkez M. 26. Kilkenny G. 19. Kluivert J. 1. Neto (G) 24. Semenyo A. 9. Solanke D.
Coaches
Duff M.	Iraola A.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Swansea won 0.

Recent matches Swansea is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bournemouth is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Bournemouth have a series of home games.

Bournemouth will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Swansea: Benda S. (Knee Injury) Walsh L. (Injury)

There will not play in Bournemouth: Adams T. (Thigh Injury) Fredericks R. (Calf Injury) Marcondes E. (Ankle Injury) Scott A. (Knee Injury) Smith A. (Muscle Injury) Tavernier M. (Thigh Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Swansea won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 8-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Swansea won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swansea City
English League Championship
26.08.23	Preston North End - Swansea City	2:1 ✺
19.08.23	Swansea City - Coventry City	1:1 ✺
12.08.23	West Bromwich Albion - Swansea City	3:2 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.23	Swansea City - Northampton Town	3:0 ✺
English League Championship
05.08.23	Swansea City - Birmingham City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTLWT
- AFC Bournemouth
English Premier League
26.08.23	Bournemouth - Tottenham Hotspur	0:2 ✺
19.08.23	Liverpool - Bournemouth	3:1 ✺
12.08.23	Bournemouth - West Ham United	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Bournemouth - Lorient	2:0 ✺
29.07.23	Bournemouth - Atalanta	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
26.04.22	Swansea City - Bournemouth	3:3
06.11.21	Bournemouth - Swansea City	4:0
16.03.21	Bournemouth - Swansea City	3:0
08.12.20	Swansea City - Bournemouth	0:0
English Premier League
05.05.18	Bournemouth - Swansea City	1:0
25.11.17	Swansea City - Bournemouth	0:0
18.03.17	Bournemouth - Swansea City	2:0

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