Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 6 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Ewood Park (Blackburn)

Referee: Eltringham G. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Voyo
Denmark	Discovery+, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Malaysia	Astro
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Xtra


	Blackburn Rovers		Cambridge United

	1	X	2
	1.44	5.5	6	Watch
	1.43	5	6.75
	1.44	5	7	Watch
	1.44	5.08	6.8
	1.43	5.19	6.3
	1.35	4.5	6.5
	1.42	5.41	5.9	Watch
	1.42	5	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.36)	5.09 ↑ (4.97)	6.46 ↓ (7.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blackburn Rovers
66.7%

Draw
18.6%

Cambridge United
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

18.9%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

17.6%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	7.1%	21.4%

Blackburn Rovers - Cambridge United Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Blackburn will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Cambridge will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Blackburn: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Wahlstedt L. (G) 2. Brittain C. 17. Carter H. 5. Hyam D. (C) 3. Pickering H. 30. Garrett J. 23. Wharton A. 24. Moran A. 8. Szmodics S. 7. Sigurdsson A. 33. Telalovic S.	1. Stevens J. (G) 2. Bennett L. 15. Okedina J. 6. Bennett R. 3. Andrew D. 4. Digby P. (C) 24. Cousins J. 19. May A. 10. Lankester J. 7. Brophy J. 14. Kaikai S.
Substitutes
44. Ayari Y. 14. Ennis N. 42. Finneran R. 15. Gamble P. 4. Hill J. 34. Hilton J. (G) 20. Leonard H. 18. Markanday D. 6. Tronstad S.	27. Gordon J. 13. Holden J. (G) 16. Ibsen Rossi Z. 17. Janneh S. 41. Kaunda A. 25. Mannion W. (G) 5. Morrison M.
Coaches
Tomasson J. D.	Harris N.

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Blackburn has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Cambridge is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cambridge could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Blackburn is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blackburn Rovers
English League Championship
01.01.24	Blackburn Rovers - Rotherham United	2:2 ✺
29.12.23	Hull City - Blackburn Rovers	3:2 ✺
26.12.23	Huddersfield Town - Blackburn Rovers	3:0 ✺
23.12.23	Blackburn Rovers - Watford	1:2 ✺
16.12.23	Southampton - Blackburn Rovers	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL
- Cambridge United
English League One
01.01.24	Cambridge United - Leyton Orient	0:2 ✺
26.12.23	Oxford United - Cambridge United	2:1 ✺
22.12.23	Cambridge United - Exeter City	2:0 ✺
16.12.23	Cambridge United - Blackpool	2:1 ✺
09.12.23	Charlton Athletic - Cambridge United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LLWWT

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