Match Info

Championship - Round 45

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton)

Referee: Smith J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Canada	DAZN Canada
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Iceland	Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 1
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Sports UHD
Usa	Paramount+


	Southampton		Blackburn Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.2	6.25	Watch
	1.51	4.28	6.4	Watch
	1.5	4.44	6.82
	1.5	4.34	6.41	Watch
	1.5	4	6
	1.54	4.37	6.51	Watch
	1.68	3.9	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.68)	4.22 ↑ (3.9)	6.17 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southampton
62.2%

Draw
22.5%

Blackburn Rovers
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

24.2%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

23.1%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Southampton's performance.

Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.5%	5.3%	12.3%

Southampton - Blackburn Rovers Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - S`hampton (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - S`hampton (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Southampton will win (44 of 52 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.81% – 94.43%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Southampton will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. S`hampton (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Blackburn (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Peretz D. (G) 14. Bree J. 6. Harwood-Bellis T. 5. Stephens J. (C) 3. Manning R. 24. Charles S. 27. Matsuki K. 18. Fellows T. 48. Bragg C. 19. Archer C. 9. Larin C.	22. Toth B. (G) 38. Atcheson T. 15. McLoughlin S. (C) 3. Pickering H. 2. Alebiosu R. 5. Gardner-Hickman T. 31. Montgomery K. 4. Ribeiro Y. 27. Redmond N. 24. Baradji M. 29. Jorgensen M.
Substitutes
4. Downes F. 23. Edozie S. 20. Jander C. 25. Long G. (G) 46. Robinson J. 13. Scienza L. 11. Stewart R. 34. Welington 15. Wood N.	21. Afolayan O. 20. Cashin E. 14. De Neve D. 19. Hedges R. 54. Joseph V. 25. Morishita R. 23. Ohashi Y. 26. O'Riordan C. 1. Pears A. (G)
Coaches
Eckert T.	O'Neill Mi.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', McLoughlin S. 🟨,
7', Gardner-Hickman T. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Larin C. ⚽, Archer C. (A),
43', 2 - 0, Manning R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bree J. ↓, Wood N. ↑,
46', Alebiosu R. ↓, Morishita R. ↑,
46', Redmond N. ↓, Ohashi Y. ↑,
71', Manning R. ↓, Welington ↑,
71', Matsuki K. ↓, Scienza L. ↑,
71', Bragg C. ↓, Downes F. ↑,
73', Baradji M. ↓, Hedges R. ↑,
73', Jorgensen M. ↓, Afolayan O. ↑,
78', Pickering H. ↓, Cashin E. ↑,
86', 3 - 0, Archer C. ⚽, Scienza L. (A),
87', Archer C. ↓, Robinson J. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 19).

S`hampton is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Blackburn is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Blackburn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, S`hampton has had a series of home games.

In this match, S`hampton is the team to beat.

There will not play in S`hampton: Roerslev Rasmussen M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Blackburn: Carter H. (Injury) Garrett J. (Lacking Match Fitness) Gudjohnsen A. (Ankle Injury) Hedges R. (Ankle Injury) Henriksson A. (Inactive) Kargbo A. (Hamstring Injury) Litherland M. (Inactive) Miller L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Tronstad S. (Knee Injury)

We predict that S`hampton will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, S`hampton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Southampton: 9.9% Blackburn: 1.04%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Blackburn	9	3	3	3	14:13	1	12
16	Southampton	8	4	2	2	19:10	9	10

Last Results with these Odds

Southampton - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 56.16%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southampton FC
English League Championship
11.04.26	Southampton - Derby County	2:1 ✺
07.04.26	Wrexham - Southampton	1:5 ✺
English FA Cup
04.04.26	Southampton - Arsenal	2:1 ✺
English League Championship
21.03.26	Southampton - Oxford United	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Southampton - Norwich City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.9 WWWWW
- Blackburn Rovers
English League Championship
11.04.26	Stoke City - Blackburn Rovers	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Blackburn Rovers - West Bromwich Albion	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Birmingham City - Blackburn Rovers	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Blackburn Rovers - Middlesbrough	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Millwall - Blackburn Rovers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
25.10.25	Blackburn Rovers - Southampton	2:1
06.04.24	Blackburn Rovers - Southampton	0:0
16.12.23	Southampton - Blackburn Rovers	4:0

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