Match Info

FA Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: MKM Stadium (Hull)

Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)

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	Hull City		Blackburn Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.3	3.7
	2.35	3.4	2.7
	2.08	3.35	3.7
	3.00	2.23	3.55	Watch
	2	3.2	3.5
	2.06	3.4	4.01	Watch
	2	3.33	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.39)	3.17 ↓ (3.48)	3.56 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hull City
43.1%

Draw
30.1%

Blackburn Rovers
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

26.9%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

27.2%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hull City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Blackburn Rovers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Blackburn Rovers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	14.8%	7.4%

Hull City - Blackburn Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Hull will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%). Blackburn will win (votes: 2 - 7.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hull: 62.1% – 93.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Blackburn (6.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hull City will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Hull (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Blackburn (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Phillips D. (G) 18. Drameh C. 23. Famewo A. 4. Hughes C. 2. Coyle L. (C) 25. Crooks M. 20. Hadziahmetovic A. 19. Ndala J. 24. Gyabi D. 7. Millar L. 9. McBurnie O.	22. Toth B. (G) 38. Atcheson T. 26. O'Riordan C. 20. Cashin E. 12. Miller L. (C) 5. Gardner-Hickman T. 31. Montgomery K. 14. De Neve D. 44. Powell B. 18. Henriksson A. 52. Dlamini N.
Substitutes
11. Akintola B. 15. Egan J. 5. Jacob M. 22. Joseph K. 58. McCarthy C. 45. Palmer K. 1. Pandur I. (G) 52. Parker H. 27. Slater R.	24. Baradji M. 47. Doherty A. 15. McLoughlin S. 35. Michalski N. (G) 23. Ohashi Y. 3. Pickering H. 43. Pratt G. 4. Ribeiro Y. 32. Tyjon I.
Coaches
Jakirovic S.	Ismael V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Gyabi D. ↓, Slater R. ↑,
31', Powell B. 🟨,
45', Famewo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', O'Riordan C. 🟨,
55', Montgomery K. ↓, Baradji M. ↑,
69', Dlamini N. ↓, Doherty A. ↑,
69', Powell B. ↓, Ohashi Y. ↑,
74', McBurnie O. 🟨,
74', De Neve D. ↓, Ribeiro Y. ↑,
75', Cashin E. ↓, McLoughlin S. ↑,
76', Drameh C. 🟨,
82', Ndala J. ↓, Akintola B. ↑,
82', Palmer K. ↓, Joseph K. ↑,
90', O'Riordan C. ↓, Pratt G. ↑,
90+4', Millar L. ↓, McCarthy C. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
106', Famewo A. ↓, Egan J. ↑,
111', Drameh C. ↓, Jacob M. ↑,
116', Slater R. 🟨,
119', Gardner-Hickman T. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Ohashi Y. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Coyle L. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Baradji M. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Joseph K. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Gardner-Hickman T. (Penalty Awarded),
3, McBurnie O. (Penalty Awarded),
4, McLoughlin S. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Hughes C. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Doherty A. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Akintola B. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hull won 3.

Hull is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Blackburn has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hull may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Hull is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Hull won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 0.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hull won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.9:1.1).

Outrights of English FA Cup for now

Blackburn: 0.32%

Last Results with these Odds

Blackburn Rovers - the odds 2.76 are the expected chance of winning is 33.87%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hull City
English League Championship
01.01.26	Hull City - Stoke City	0:1 ✺
29.12.25	Middlesbrough - Hull City	0:1 ✺
26.12.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Hull City	2:2 ✺
20.12.25	Hull City - West Bromwich Albion	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Millwall - Hull City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 LWTWW
- Blackburn Rovers
English League Championship
04.01.26	Blackburn Rovers - Charlton Athletic	2:2 ✺
01.01.26	Blackburn Rovers - Wrexham	0:2 ✺
29.12.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Blackburn Rovers	0:0 ✺
26.12.25	Middlesbrough - Blackburn Rovers	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Blackburn Rovers - Millwall	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
23.08.25	Hull City - Blackburn Rovers	0:3
29.12.24	Blackburn Rovers - Hull City	0:1
07.12.24	Hull City - Blackburn Rovers	0:1
29.12.23	Hull City - Blackburn Rovers	3:2
19.08.23	Blackburn Rovers - Hull City	1:2
15.04.23	Blackburn Rovers - Hull City	0:0
29.10.22	Hull City - Blackburn Rovers	0:1

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