Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 1 March 2023, Wednesday

Location: Turf Moor (Burnley)

Referee: Whitestone D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Paramount+
Belgium	Eleven Sports
Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	Discovery+, Eurosport 2, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports Max
Malaysia	Astro
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Sweden	Viaplay


	Burnley		Fleetwood Town

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.75	15	Watch
	1.24	6	13
	1.25	6	12
	1.25	6.04	12.91
	1.22	6	13	Watch
	1.23	6.2	13	Watch
	1.21	6	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.38)	6 ↑ (4.63)	12.99 ↑ (7.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Burnley
76.9%

Draw
15.8%

Fleetwood Town
7.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

20.2%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

19.3%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Burnley's performance.

Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burnley that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	0%	26.7%

Burnley - Fleetwood Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Burnley will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Fleetwood will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burnley: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Burnley is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fleetwood in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Burnley is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Burnley: Benson M. (Ankle Injury) Churlinov D. (Leg Injury) Harwood-Bellis T. (Foot Injury) Maatsen I. (Shoulder Injury) Rodriguez J. (Knock)

There are questionable in Fleetwood: Johnson D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Burnley won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burnley FC
English League Championship
25.02.23	Burnley - Huddersfield Town	4:0 ✺
21.02.23	Millwall - Burnley	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Luton Town - Burnley	0:1 ✺
14.02.23	Burnley - Watford	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Burnley - Preston North End	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTWTW
- Fleetwood Town
English League One
25.02.23	Fleetwood Town - Morecambe	1:0 ✺
21.02.23	Fleetwood Town - Cambridge United	1:0 ✺
18.02.23	Plymouth Argyle - Fleetwood Town	0:0 ✺
14.02.23	Fleetwood Town - Peterborough United	1:0 ✺
11.02.23	Charlton Athletic - Fleetwood Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
23.07.19	Fleetwood Town - Burnley	0:2
28.07.15	Fleetwood Town - Burnley	0:2

Upcoming Matches