Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 13

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: The Den (London)

Referee: Ward G. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9
Iceland	Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	NOW
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 3
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+
World	Disney+, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia


	Millwall		Burnley

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.7	Watch
	2.8	3	2.7
	2.87	2.97	2.72	Watch
	2.94	2.98	2.82
	2.92	2.93	2.73	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.8
	2.88	2.93	2.73	Watch
	2.87	2.97	2.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.77)	2.97 ↓ (3.11)	2.74 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Millwall
33.2%

Draw
32%

Burnley
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

30.5%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

31.8%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.8%	47.4%	36.8%

Millwall - Burnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Burnley will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jensen L. (G) 18. Leonard R. 6. Tanganga J. 5. Cooper J. (C) 15. Bryan J. 24. De Norre C. 23. Saville G. 25. Esse R. 39. Honeyman G. 11. Azeez F. 17. Langstaff M.	1. Trafford J. (G) 14. Roberts C. 6. Egan-Riley C. 5. Esteve M. 12. Humphreys B. 24. Cullen J. 8. Brownhill J. 30. Koleosho L. 29. Laurent J. 11. Anthony J. 37. Hountondji A.
Substitutes
21. Coburn J. 22. Emakhu A. 4. Hutchinson S. 26. Ivanovic M. 16. Kelly D. 2. McNamara D. 13. Roberts L. (G) 19. Watmore D. 14. Wintle R.	48. Agyei E. 39. Dodgson O. 16. Egan J. 32. Hladky V. (G) 23. Lucas Pires 28. Mejbri H. 9. Rodriguez J. 3. Sambo S. 7. Sarmiento J.
Coaches
Harris N.	Parker S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Cooper J. 🟨,
23', Bryan J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Cooper J. ⚽,
63', Humphreys B. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
63', Laurent J. ↓, Mejbri H. ↑,
63', Hountondji A. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
73', Bryan J. ↓, McNamara D. ↑,
76', Azeez F. ↓, Wintle R. ↑,
76', Langstaff M. ↓, Coburn J. ↑,
76', Esse R. ↓, Watmore D. ↑,
88', Sarmiento J. 🟨,
90+2', Honeyman G. ↓, Hutchinson S. ↑,
90+7', Mejbri H. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Millwall won 0.

Recent matches Millwall is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Burnley is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Millwall: Bradshaw T. (Muscle Injury) Coburn J. (Knock) Mitchell B. (Hip Injury)

There will not play in Burnley: Beyer J. (Thigh Injury) Delcroix H. (Muscle Injury) Ekdal H. (Muscle Injury) Foster L. (Knee Injury) Manuel Hedilazio B. (Calf Injury) Ramsey A. (Knee Injury) Redmond N. (Muscle Injury) Tresor Ndayishimiye M. (Leg Injury) Worrall J. (Foot Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Millwall won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:15 (average 1.1:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Millwall won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:7 (average 0.8:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Millwall
English League Championship
26.10.24	Swansea City - Millwall	0:1 ✺
23.10.24	Millwall - Plymouth Argyle	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Millwall - Derby County	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	West Bromwich Albion - Millwall	0:0 ✺
01.10.24	Cardiff City - Millwall	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWTTL
- Burnley FC
English League Championship
26.10.24	Burnley - Queens Park Rangers	0:0 ✺
23.10.24	Hull City - Burnley	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Sheffield Wednesday - Burnley	0:2 ✺
05.10.24	Burnley - Preston North End	0:0 ✺
01.10.24	Burnley - Plymouth Argyle	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
21.02.23	Millwall - Burnley	1:1
30.08.22	Burnley - Millwall	2:0
English League Cup
23.09.20	Millwall - Burnley	0:2
English League Championship
08.02.14	Burnley - Millwall	3:1
02.11.13	Millwall - Burnley	2:2
19.01.13	Millwall - Burnley	0:2
29.09.12	Burnley - Millwall	2:2

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