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Current Win Probability
Burnley 55.2%
Draw 26.2%
Watford 18.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
54.2%
25.9%
19.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56%
25.1%
19.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.9%
42.1%
0%
Burnley - Watford Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Burnley will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Burnley: 35.7% โ 80.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Trafford J. (G) 14. Roberts C. 12. Humphreys B. 5. Esteve M. 6. Egan-Riley C. 24. Cullen J. 8. Brownhill J. 11. Anthony J. 28. Mejbri H. 29. Laurent J. 19. Flemming Z.
1. Bachmann D. (G) 2. Ngakia J. 5. Porteous R. 6. Pollock M. 37. Larouci Y. 14. Dwomoh P. 34. Baah K. 17. Sissoko M. 8. Chakvetadze G. 11. Vata R. 19. Bayo V.
Substitutes
44. Delcroix H. 16. Egan J. 18. Ekdal H. 32. Hladky V. (G) 37. Hountondji A. 30. Koleosho L. 23. Lucas Pires 9. Rodriguez J. 4. Worrall J.
45. Andrews R. 23. Bond J. (G) 36. Ebosele F. 7. Ince T. 18. Jebbison D. 39. Kayembe E. 22. Morris J. 21. Ogbonna A. 3. Sierralta F.
Coaches
Parker S.
Cleverley T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Anthony J. ⚽, Brownhill J. (A),
41', Ngakia J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Vata R. ↓, Sierralta F. ↑,
49', Laurent J. 🟨,
59', Ngakia J. ↓, Andrews R. ↑,
59', Larouci Y. ↓, Ebosele F. ↑,
63', 2 - 0, Brownhill J. ⚽, Mejbri H. (A),
65', Egan-Riley C. 🟨,
70', Bayo V. ↓, Jebbison D. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Baah K. ⚽,
82', Dwomoh P. ↓, Kayembe E. ↑,
83', Mejbri H. ↓, Koleosho L. ↑,
88', Trafford J. 🟨,
90+1', Flemming Z. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
90+3', Roberts C. ↓, Egan J. ↑,
Preview
One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Burnley won 2.
Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
In this match Burnley is a favorite.
There will not play in Burnley: Beyer J.
(Thigh Injury)
Ramsey A.
(Knee Injury)
Tresor Ndayishimiye M.
(Leg Injury)
There will not play in Watford: Dele-Bashiru T.
(Knee Injury)
Keben K.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Burnley: Manuel Hedilazio B.
(Calf Injury)
There are questionable in Watford: Ogbonna A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Our prediction for today's Burnley to win the game is with odds 1.74.
Last 17 head-to-head matches Burnley won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21:17 (average 1.2:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Burnley won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:5 (average 0.9:0.6).