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Current Win Probability
Swansea City 56.4%
Draw 24.2%
Blackpool 19.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
55.6%
24.9%
19.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.9%
23.7%
20.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Blackpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackpool than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
12.5%
37.5%
Swansea City - Blackpool Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Blackpool will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Swansea: 25.5% โ 74.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 16 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
Swansea has the most likely position - 10 (8.56%), has project points - 64, has currently - 39, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (15%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Blackpool has the most likely position - 24 (25.6%), has project points - 45, has currently - 28, has a good chance of relegated (62%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality40, importance33, match rating36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
Blackpool could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Swansea is a favorite.
There will not play in Blackpool: Anderson K.
(Injury)
Beesley J.
(Injury)
Bridcutt L.
(Injury)
Ekpiteta M.
(Injury)
Garbutt L.
(Injury)
Goode C.
(Injury)
Stewart K.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Swansea: Paterson J.
(Injury)
Last 3 head-to-head matches Swansea won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Swansea won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
Watch
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