The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Blackpool 29%
Draw 28.8%
Stoke City 42.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.9%
29.1%
37.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.1%
28.4%
38%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Blackpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stoke City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackpool than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
35.7%
64.3%
Blackpool - Stoke City Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Stoke: 39.2% – 89.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 19).
Blackpool has the most likely position - 24 (26.81%), has project points - 44, has currently - 28, has a good chance of relegated (68%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Stoke has the most likely position - 16 (9.39%), has project points - 58, has currently - 37, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality39, small importance30, match rating35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Blackpool is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Stoke is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Stoke could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Stoke have a series of home games.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Blackpool: Anderson K.
(Injury)
Beesley J.
(Injury)
Bridcutt L.
(Injury)
Ekpiteta M.
(Injury)
Garbutt L.
(Injury)
Goode C.
(Injury)
Patino C.
(Red Card)
Stewart K.
(Injury)
There will not play in Stoke: Clucas S.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Stoke: Taylor C.
(Injury)
Last 4 head-to-head matches Blackpool won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Blackpool won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
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