Match Info

League One - Round 24

Date: 1 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Vale Park (Stoke on Trent)

Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Port Vale		Blackpool

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.95	2.55	Watch
	2.72	3.25	2.52	Watch
	2.61	3.21	2.71	Watch
	2.63	3.1	2.6
	2.71	3.2	2.56	Watch
	2.66	3.25	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.05)	3.16 ↓ (3.25)	2.59 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Port Vale
34.8%

Draw
29.4%

Blackpool
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

28.2%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

28.4%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Port Vale's form might have worsened.

Blackpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Blackpool's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Port Vale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blackpool than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Blackpool, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.2%	8.8%	50%

Port Vale - Blackpool Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 14 - 41.2%). Blackpool will win (votes: 17 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Blackpool: 33.2% – 66.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Port Vale (votes: 5 - 50%). Blackpool (votes: 3 - 30%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Blackpool (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Port Vale (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Blackpool (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Amos B. (G) 24. Kyle John 4. Heneghan B. 25. Humphreys C. 2. Clark M. 18. Croasdale R. 7. Byers G. (C) 26. Shipley J. 28. Johnson M. 9. Stockley J. 44. Cole D.	1. Peacock-Farrell B. (G) 4. Casey O. 5. Horsfall F. (C) 3. Husband J. 30. Imray D. 8. Morgan A. 6. Brown J. 10. Honeyman G. 26. Ashworth Z. 14. Bloxham T. 11. Fletcher A.
Substitutes
11. Curtis R. 22. Debrah J. 36. Faal M. 46. Gauci J. (G) 33. Hall G. 3. Headley J. 12. Walters R.	23. Banks S. 19. Bowler J. 7. Evans L. 22. Hamilton C. 29. Hansson E. 2. Lyons A. 25. Ravizzoli F. (G)
Coaches
Moore D.	Evatt I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Honeyman G. 🟨,
23', Croasdale R. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Bloxham T. ⚽, Imray D. (A),
43', Ashworth Z. 🟨,
45+1', Husband J. 🟥,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
46', Bloxham T. ↓, Hamilton C. ↑,
46', Croasdale R. ↓, Curtis R. ↑,
46', Kyle John ↓, Hall G. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Stockley J. ⚽, Curtis R. (A),
58', 2 - 1, Byers G. ⚽, Cole D. (A),
62', Fletcher A. ↓, Banks S. ↑,
63', Brown J. ↓, Bowler J. ↑,
63', Imray D. ↓, Lyons A. ↑,
68', Johnson M. ↓, Headley J. ↑,
74', 3 - 1, Headley J. ⚽, Shipley J. (A),
77', Stockley J. ↓, Faal M. ↑,
80', Horsfall F. 🟨,
81', Morgan A. ↓, Evans L. ↑,
83', Shipley J. 🟨,
85', Faal M. 🟨,
86', 4 - 1, Cole D. ⚽, Curtis R. (A),
90+1', Cole D. ↓, Walters R. ↑,
90+4', 5 - 1, Curtis R. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 3.

Port Vale has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Blackpool is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Port Vale: Garrity B. (Inactive) Gordon L. (Injury) Lawrence-Gabriel J. (Inactive) Ojo F. (Inactive)

There will not play in Blackpool: Coulson H. (Inactive) Ennis N. (Calf Injury) Taylor D. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Port Vale: Johnson M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Blackpool: Ihiekwe M. (Inactive)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.1:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Outrights of English League One for now

Blackpool: 1.73%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Blackpool	7	2	2	3	13:13	0	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Port Vale
English League One
29.12.25	Bradford City - Port Vale	1:0 ✺
26.12.25	Huddersfield Town - Port Vale	5:0 ✺
20.12.25	Port Vale - Peterborough United	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Luton Town - Port Vale	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
06.12.25	Port Vale - Bristol Rovers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLLTW
- Blackpool
English League One
29.12.25	Blackpool - Rotherham United	4:0 ✺
26.12.25	Blackpool - Doncaster Rovers	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Wigan Athletic - Blackpool	0:2 ✺
13.12.25	Blackpool - Lincoln City	2:2 ✺
10.12.25	Rotherham United - Blackpool	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
12.08.25	Blackpool - Port Vale	0:1
English League One
29.12.23	Port Vale - Blackpool	3:0
15.08.23	Blackpool - Port Vale	0:0
Club Friendly
21.07.18	Port Vale - Blackpool	0:1
English League One
09.01.16	Blackpool - Port Vale	0:1
24.11.15	Port Vale - Blackpool	2:0
English EFL Trophy
06.10.15	Port Vale - Blackpool	1:2

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