Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 20

Date: 2 February 2026, Monday

Location: Estádio do CD das Aves (Vila das Aves)

Referee: Macedo C. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Portugal	Sport TV2


	AVS		Braga

	1	X	2
	8.5	4.75	1.33	Watch
	8.8	4.95	1.32	Watch
	9.96	5.19	1.35
	8.65	4.96	1.36	Watch
	9	4.4	1.33	Watch
	9.45	5.21	1.36	Watch
	8.5	5	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.98 ↑ (7.79)	4.92 ↑ (4.73)	1.34 ↓ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AVS
10.5%

Draw
19.1%

Braga
70.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.1%

20%

67.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.8%

19.5%

69.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AVS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AVS than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12%	4%	84%

AVS - Braga Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - AVS (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Braga (1.07) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -2 - Braga (2.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 4.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Braga will win (21 of 25 users predict this - 84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.63% – 98.37%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Braga will win (23 of 26 users predict this - 88.46%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 32 Selected Experts predict this event. AVS (votes: 5 - 15.6%). Braga (votes: 27 - 84.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Adriel (G) 27. Algobia A. 35. Semedo R. 26. Ponck 24. Kiki (C) 70. Roni 23. Mendonca G. 11. Akinsola T. 8. Pedro Lima 14. Perea O. 20. Duarte D.	1. Hornicek L. (G) 37. Barisic A. 14. Lagerbielke G. 26. Arrey-Mbi B. 2. Gomez V. 8. Moutinho J. 29. Gorby 77. Martinez G. 10. Zalazar R. 18. Victor P. 21. Horta R. (C)
Substitutes
19. Galletto T. 15. Grau J. 21. Neiva G. 18. Nene 3. Paulo Vitor 12. Rivas D. 33. Santos A. 93. Simao (G) 7. Tomane	17. Gabriel Moscardo 27. Grillitsch F. 5. Lelo L. 39. Navarro F. 15. Oliveira P. 50. Rodrigues D. 12. Sa T. (G) 34. Tiknaz D. E. 95. Vidigal S.
Coaches
Henriques J.	Vicens C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Horta R. ⚽, Victor P. (A),
23', Arrey-Mbi B. 🟨,
30', 0 - 2, Zalazar R. ⚽, Horta R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', Algobia A. ↓, Galletto T. ↑,
65', Barisic A. ↓, Oliveira P. ↑,
65', Arrey-Mbi B. ↓, Lelo L. ↑,
66', Perea O. ↓, Neiva G. ↑,
66', Duarte D. ↓, Nene ↑,
73', Gorby ↓, Gabriel Moscardo ↑,
74', Martinez G. ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
80', 0 - 3, Victor P. ⚽, Rodrigues D. (A),
81', Roni ↓, Grau J. ↑,
81', Mendonca G. ↓, Tomane ↑,
83', 0 - 4, Victor P. ⚽, Horta R. (A),
85', Horta R. ↓, Tiknaz D. E. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 5).

AVS is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Braga is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Braga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Braga is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in AVS: Molina G. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Braga: El Ouazzani A. (Foot Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, AVS won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, AVS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Braga	7	3	2	2	8:8	0	11

Last Results with these Odds

Braga - the odds 1.39 are the expected chance of winning is 67.92%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AVS Futebol SAD
Liga Portugal
23.01.26	Casa Pia - AVS	3:3 ✺
17.01.26	AVS - Arouca	0:1 ✺
03.01.26	AVS - Moreirense	0:2 ✺
29.12.25	Porto - AVS	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	AVS - Nacional	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLLLT
- SC Braga
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Go Ahead Eagles - Braga	0:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
25.01.26	Braga - Alverca	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Braga - Nottingham Forest	1:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
18.01.26	Tondela - Braga	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
14.01.26	Fafe - Braga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
24.08.25	Braga - AVS	2:2
13.04.25	Braga - AVS	4:1
01.12.24	AVS - Braga	0:1

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