Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Germany	Sport 1+
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	Polsat Sport News
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool


	Boca Juniors		Fluminense

	1	X	2
	4	3.25	2.05	Watch
	3.8	3.1	2.1
	3.85	3.15	2.15	Watch
	4	3.29	2.09
	3.98	3.29	2.09
	3.6	3.1	2
	4.1	3.3	2.19	Watch
	3.5	3.25	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↑ (3.83)	3.22 ↓ (3.27)	2.1 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 0.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors
24.8%

Draw
29.7%

Fluminense
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

29%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

29.8%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Boca Juniors have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	25%	33.3%

Boca Juniors - Fluminense Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Fluminense will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Romero S. (C) 17. Advincula L. 4. Figal J. 15. Valentini N. 18. Fabra F. 36. Medina C. 8. Fernandez G. 21. Fernandez I. 19. Barco V. 16. Miguel Merentiel 10. Cavani E.	1. Fabio (G) 2. Samuel Xavier 33. Nino (C) 30. Felipe Melo 12. Marcelo 8. Martinelli L. M. 7. Andre 21. Jhon Arias 10. Ganso 11. Keno 14. Cano G.
Substitutes
9. Benedetto D. 49. Campuzano J. 13. Garcia J. (G) 23. Gonzalez D. 11. Janson L. 41. Langoni L. 20. Ramirez J. 2. Roncaglia F. 3. Saracchi M. 39. Taborda V. 25. Valdez B. 57. Weigandt M.	5. Alexsander 20. Danielzinho 44. David Braz 40. Diogo Barbosa 19. Fernandez L. 38. Gonzalez Y. 23. Guga 9. John Kennedy 45. Lima 4. Marlon 22. Pedro Rangel (G) 29. Thiago Santos
Coaches
Almiron J.	Diniz F.

Preview

Neutral location - Maracanã.

Recent matches Boca Juniors is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fluminense is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fluminense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Fluminense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Boca Juniors won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
28.10.23	Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata	0:0 ✺
24.10.23	Racing - Boca Juniors	2:1 ✺
20.10.23	Boca Juniors - Unión Santa Fe	2:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
15.10.23	Talleres de Córdoba - Boca Juniors	1:2 penalties ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
10.10.23	Belgrano - Boca Juniors	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLWWL
- Fluminense RJ
Brazilian Serie A
31.10.23	Bahia - Fluminense	1:0 ✺
28.10.23	Atlético Mineiro - Fluminense	2:0 ✺
25.10.23	Fluminense - Goiás	5:3 ✺
22.10.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Fluminense	1:0 ✺
19.10.23	Fluminense - Corinthians	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
23.05.12	Fluminense - Boca Juniors	1:1

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