Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 9

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Mexico	Azteca Deportes
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Usa	Fanatiz
World	Onefootball


	Fluminense		Corinthians

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.5	5.25	Watch
	1.7	3.55	4.95	Watch
	1.9	3.35	5.01
	1.76	3.46	5.26
	1.7	3.3	5
	1.76	3.54	5.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.89)	3.45 ↑ (3.22)	5.12 ↑ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fluminense
54.1%

Draw
27.4%

Corinthians
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

29%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

28.4%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	21.4%	0%

Fluminense - Corinthians Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Fluminense (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Fluminense will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fabio (G) 2. Samuel Xavier (C) 3. Jemmes 22. Freytes J. 6. Rene 35. Hercules 8. Martinelli 11. Savarino J. 32. Acosta L. 90. Serna K. 9. John Kennedy	51. Kaue (G) 2. Matheuzinho 3. Gabriel Paulista 13. Gustavo Henrique 21. Matheus Bidu 35. Charles Rigon 29. Allan 7. Breno Bidon 8. Garro R. (C) 49. Andre 9. Yuri Alberto
Substitutes
25. Alisson 14. Cano G. 19. Castillo R. 23. Guga 13. Guilherme Arana 4. Ignacio 21. Igor Rabello 29. Millan J. 94. Otavio 10. PH Ganso 7. Soteldo Y. 98. Vitor Eudes (G)	5. Andre Ramalho 26. Angileri F. 61. Dieguinho 40. Felipe Longo (G) 4. Joao Pedro 31. Kayke 52. Labyad Z. 77. Lingard J. 20. Milans P. 18. Pedro Raul 23. Pereira M. 11. Vitinho
Coaches
Zubeldia L.	Dorival Junior

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, John Kennedy ⚽, Serna K. (A),
35', Matheus Bidu 🟨,
45+3', 2 - 0, Hercules ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Breno Bidon ↓, Lingard J. ↑,
46', Charles Rigon ↓, Pereira M. ↑,
46', Matheus Bidu ↓, Angileri F. ↑,
52', Allan 🟨,
52', Acosta L. 🟨,
55', Allan 🟥,
62', Andre 🟨,
69', Acosta L. ↓, PH Ganso ↑,
70', Serna K. ↓, Soteldo Y. ↑,
76', Yuri Alberto ↓, Labyad Z. ↑,
77', Garro R. ↓, Dieguinho ↑,
77', John Kennedy ↓, Castillo R. ↑,
77', Hercules ↓, Alisson ↑,
83', 3 - 0, Castillo R. ⚽, Martinelli (A),
86', Martinelli ↓, Cano G. ↑,
89', 3 - 1, Andre ⚽,
90+4', Pereira M. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 1.

Fluminense has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Corinthians's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Fluminense is the team to beat.

There will not play in Fluminense: Bernal F. (Knee Injury) Cano G. (Knee Injury) Nonato (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Corinthians: Depay M. (Thigh Injury) Felipe Longo (Elbow Injury) Hugo (Knee Injury) Kaio Cesar (Thigh Injury) Raniele (Yellow Cards)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:26. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:9. (average 1.5:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Fluminense	29	14	9	6	48:36	12	51
16	Corinthians	29	8	8	13	30:34	-4	32

Last Results with these Odds

Fluminense - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 49.42%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Corinthians - the odds 4.32 are the expected chance of winning is 21.62%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fluminense RJ
Brazilian Serie A
21.03.26	Fluminense - Atlético Mineiro	1:0 ✺
18.03.26	Vasco da Gama - Fluminense	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Fluminense - Athletico Paranaense	3:2 ✺
12.03.26	Remo - Fluminense	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
08.03.26	Fluminense - Flamengo	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWWL
- Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A
22.03.26	Corinthians - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
19.03.26	Chapecoense - Corinthians	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Santos - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
11.03.26	Corinthians - Coritiba	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
28.02.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Corinthians	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
13.09.25	Fluminense - Corinthians	0:1
16.04.25	Corinthians - Fluminense	0:2
17.08.24	Fluminense - Corinthians	0:0
28.04.24	Corinthians - Fluminense	3:0
19.10.23	Fluminense - Corinthians	3:3
28.05.23	Corinthians - Fluminense	2:0
26.10.22	Corinthians - Fluminense	0:2

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