What is the expert prediction for Boca Juniors vs Universidad Católica?

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Boca Juniors vs Universidad Católica Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, May 28, 2026)

Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 6

Date: 28 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Alberto J. Armando (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Roldan W. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+, ESPN 5
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Como TV
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Poland	Polsat Sport 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Ukraine	Maincast Sport
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter


	Boca Juniors		Universidad Católica

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.9	6.25	Watch
	1.49	4.1	6.5
	1.49	3.95	6.9	Watch
	1.49	4.18	7.38
	1.47	4.21	7.31
	1.5	3.8	6	Watch
	1.5	4.17	7.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.43)	4.04 ↓ (4.27)	6.81 ↓ (7.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors
63%

Draw
23.2%

Universidad Católica
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

22%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

21%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Uni Católica (2.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Brey L. (G) 27. Braida M. 2. Di Lollo L. 26. Pellegrino M. 3. Blanco L. 21. Herrera A. 5. Paredes L. (C) 18. Delgado M. 36. Aranda T. 9. Gimenez M. 7. Zeballos E.	1. Bernedo V. (G) 6. Arancibia S. 19. Ampuero B. 26. Diaz J. 3. Mena E. 20. Valencia J. 11. Montes C. 8. Zuqui F. 14. Martinez J. A. 15. Cuevas C. 9. Zampedri F. (C)
Substitutes
15. Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 29. Angel Romero 24. Barinaga J. 30. Belmonte T. 4. Figal J. 13. Garcia J. (G) 11. Janson L. 19. Martegani A. 16. Miguel Merentiel 20. Velasco A. 23. Weigandt M. 22. Zenon K.	13. Canales A. 46. Carcamo V. 28. Cerezo B. 25. Corral D. 5. Farias A. 7. Giani J. 22. Gomez M. 2. Gonzalez D. 39. L’Huillier N. 27. Melo D. (G) 10. Palavecino M. 12. Valdes F. (G)
Coaches
Ubeda C.	Garnero D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Montes C. ⚽, Mena E. (A),
35', Cuevas C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Herrera A. ↓, Velasco A. ↑,
54', Zampedri F. 🟨,
56', Delgado M. 🟨,
63', Pellegrino M. ↓, Angel Romero ↑,
74', Martinez J. A. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
74', Cuevas C. ↓, Farias A. ↑,
79', Montes C. ↓, Giani J. ↑,
79', Gimenez M. ↓, Miguel Merentiel ↑,
88', Zampedri F. ↓, Palavecino M. ↑,
88', Zuqui F. ↓, Corral D. ↑,
90+5', Di Lollo L. 🟨,

Preview

Boca Juniors is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Uni Católica's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Uni Católica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Uni Católica has had a series of home games.

In this match, Boca Juniors is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Boca Juniors: Bareiro A. (Inactive) Battaglia R. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Carlos Palacios (Knee Injury) Cavani E. (Lower Back Injury) Costa A. (Yellow Cards) Marchesin A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Uni Católica: Asta-Buruaga T. (Knee Injury) Medel G. (Muscle Injury) Perez I. (Knee Injury) Sekgota J. (Inactive) Valencia D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Uni Católica: Diaz J. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Boca Juniors won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

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Outrights of Copa Libertadores for now

U. Catolica: 1.76%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors
Copa Libertadores
19.05.26	Boca Juniors - Cruzeiro	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.05.26	Boca Juniors - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:3 ET ✺
Copa Libertadores
05.05.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Boca Juniors	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.05.26	Central Córdoba - Boca Juniors	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.04.26	Cruzeiro - Boca Juniors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLWL
- Universidad Católica
Chilean Primera Division
24.05.26	Universidad Católica - Colo-Colo	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
21.05.26	Universidad Católica - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
16.05.26	Deportes Limache - Universidad Católica	0:2 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
10.05.26	Universidad Católica - Ñublense	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.05.26	Universidad Católica - Cruzeiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
07.04.26	Universidad Católica - Boca Juniors	1:2

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