Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 29

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Vonovia Ruhrstadion (Bochum)

Referee: Petersen M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bochum		Augsburg

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3.3	Watch
	2.35	3.25	3.1
	2.2	3.4	3.4	Watch
	2.27	3.43	3.31	Watch
	2.4	3.25	2.9	Watch
	2.27	3.55	3.42	Watch
	2.2	3.4	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.42)	3.38 ↓ (3.41)	3.26 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bochum
42.2%

Draw
28.3%

Augsburg
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

28.2%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

29.8%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bochum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.2%	16.7%	29.2%

Bochum - Augsburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Bochum will win (votes: 13 - 56.5%). Augsburg will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bochum: 36.2% – 76.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Bochum (votes: 1 - 25%). Augsburg (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - draw (1.66) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

AH +0.5 - Augsburg (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Bochum (votes: 1 - 20%). Augsburg (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Horn T. (G) 14. Oermann T. 20. Ordets I. 5. Bernardo 15. Passlack F. 6. Sissoko I. 32. Wittek M. 19. Bero M. 17. Krauss T. 11. Masouras G. 33. Hofmann P. (C)	1. Dahmen F. (G) 5. Matsima C. 6. Gouweleeuw J. (C) 31. Schlotterbeck K. 11. Wolf M. 17. Jakic K. 19. Onyeka F. 13. Giannoulis D. 24. Jensen F. 20. Claude-Maurice A. 9. Essende S.
Substitutes
29. Broschinski M. 10. de Wit D. 27. Drewes P. (G) 2. Gamboa C. 21. Holtmann G. 8. Losilla A. 4. Masovic E. 13. Medic J. 24. Pannewig M.	40. Banks N. 37. Berisha M. 2. Gumny R. 36. Komur M. 44. Koudossou H. 22. Labrovic N. (G) 10. Maier A. 8. Rexhbecaj E. 21. Tietz P.
Coaches
Hecking D.	Thorup J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Essende S. ⚽, Claude-Maurice A. (A),
30', Ordets I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Jakic K. ↓, Rexhbecaj E. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Hofmann P. ⚽, Passlack F. (A),
61', Essende S. ↓, Tietz P. ↑,
61', Jensen F. ↓, Maier A. ↑,
71', Bero M. 🟨,
81', Maier A. 🟥,
81', Wolf M. ↓, Koudossou H. ↑,
81', Claude-Maurice A. ↓, Komur M. ↑,
82', Passlack F. ↓, Broschinski M. ↑,
82', Masouras G. ↓, Holtmann G. ↑,
86', Tietz P. 🟨,
87', Krauss T. ↓, Pannewig M. ↑,
90', 1 - 2, Komur M. ⚽, Tietz P. (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bochum won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Bochum could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Bochum: Miyoshi K. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Augsburg: Kabadayi Y. (Knee Injury) Oxford R. (Lacking Match Fitness) Zesiger C. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Bochum: Losilla A. (Ankle Injury) Ordets I. (Back Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Bochum won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:12 (average 1.6:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Bochum won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1.8:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Bochum
German Bundesliga
05.04.25	Bochum - Stuttgart	0:4 ✺
28.03.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Bochum	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.03.25	Bochum - Preußen Münster	4:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
16.03.25	Bochum - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:3 ✺
08.03.25	Bayern Munich - Bochum	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 36.9 LLWLW
- FC Augsburg
German Bundesliga
04.04.25	Augsburg - Bayern Munich	1:3 ✺
29.03.25	Hoffenheim - Augsburg	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Augsburg - Wolfsburg	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Borussia Dortmund - Augsburg	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Augsburg - Freiburg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
30.11.24	Augsburg - Bochum	1:0
03.02.24	Bochum - Augsburg	1:1
02.09.23	Augsburg - Bochum	2:2
13.05.23	Bochum - Augsburg	3:2
12.11.22	Augsburg - Bochum	0:1
24.04.22	Bochum - Augsburg	0:2
04.12.21	Augsburg - Bochum	2:3

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