Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 12

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: PreZero Arena (Sinsheim)

Referee: Dingert C. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Hoffenheim		Augsburg

	1	X	2
	1.73	4.2	4.2	Watch
	1.75	3.95	4.25	Watch
	1.76	4.15	4.54
	1.70	4.33	4.29	Watch
				Watch
	1.77	4.3	4.3	Watch
	1.72	4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.7)	4.16 ↓ (4.33)	4.35 ↑ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hoffenheim
55%

Draw
23%

Augsburg
22%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.9%

21.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

21.1%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hoffenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.1%	6.5%	6.5%

Hoffenheim - Augsburg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Hoffenheim (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Hoffenheim will win (27 of 30 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.26% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hoffenheim will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 12 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baumann O. (C) 34. Coufal V. 2. Hranac R. 21. Hajdari A. 13. Bernardo 6. Promel G. 7. Avdullahu L. 18. Burger W. 11. Asllani F. 19. Lemperle T. 29. Toure B.	1. Dahmen F. (C) 40. Banks N. 5. Matsima C. 16. Zesiger C. 30. Kade A. 19. Fellhauer R. 4. Massengo H. 13. Giannoulis D. 32. Rieder F. 36. Komur M. 9. Essende S.
Substitutes
9. Bebou I. 10. Damar M. 15. Gendrey V. 5. Kabak O. 27. Kramaric A. 33. Moerstedt M. 37. Philipp L. (G) 22. Prass A. 17. Tohumcu U.	20. Claude-Maurice A. 17. Jakic K. 22. Labrovic N. (G) 10. Maier A. 3. Pedersen M. 8. Rexhbecaj E. 26. Saad E. 21. Tietz P. 27. Wolf M.
Coaches
Ilzer C.	Wagner S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Toure B. ⚽, Burger W. (A),
26', 2 - 0, Burger W. ⚽,
45', 3 - 0, Zesiger C. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Komur M. ↓, Jakic K. ↑,
46', Massengo H. ↓, Rexhbecaj E. ↑,
59', Asllani F. ↓, Kramaric A. ↑,
60', Toure B. ↓, Moerstedt M. ↑,
71', Giannoulis D. ↓, Tietz P. ↑,
72', Zesiger C. ↓, Wolf M. ↑,
72', Bernardo ↓, Kabak O. ↑,
72', Promel G. ↓, Prass A. ↑,
74', Moerstedt M. 🟨,
82', Kade A. ↓, Claude-Maurice A. ↑,
85', Lemperle T. ↓, Damar M. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 1.

Hoffenheim is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Augsburg is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Augsburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Augsburg has had a series of home games.

In this match, Hoffenheim is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Hoffenheim: Machida K. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Augsburg: Gouweleeuw J. (Knee Injury) Schlotterbeck K. (Red Card)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:18. (average 1.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Hoffenheim won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:12. (average 1.9:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSG Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga
21.11.25	Mainz - Hoffenheim	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim	2:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	St. Pauli - Hoffenheim	3:2 penalties ✺
German Bundesliga
25.10.25	Hoffenheim - Heidenheim	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWWLW
- FC Augsburg
German Bundesliga
22.11.25	Augsburg - Hamburger SV	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Stuttgart - Augsburg	3:2 ✺
31.10.25	Augsburg - Borussia Dortmund	0:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	Augsburg - Bochum	0:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
25.10.25	Augsburg - RB Leipzig	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
29.03.25	Hoffenheim - Augsburg	1:1
10.11.24	Augsburg - Hoffenheim	0:0
07.04.24	Hoffenheim - Augsburg	3:1
Club Friendly
06.01.24	Augsburg - Hoffenheim	1:0
German Bundesliga
11.11.23	Augsburg - Hoffenheim	1:1
17.02.23	Augsburg - Hoffenheim	1:0
27.08.22	Hoffenheim - Augsburg	1:0

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