Match Info

GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 20

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Vonovia Ruhrstadion (Bochum) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Welz T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport App
Argentina	11:30	Disney+
Asia	—	TOD
Australia	01:30	beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	15:30	DAZN 1
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada
Chile	11:30	Disney+
China	22:30	ZhiBo8
Colombia	09:30	Disney+
Denmark	15:30	Viaplay
Finland	16:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
Germany	15:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports Extra 4
Hungary	15:30	Net4+
Iceland	14:30	Viaplay
India	20:00	Vision+
Indonesia	21:30	K-Vision, RCTI+
Japan	23:30	SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 7
Laos	21:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	22:30	beIN Connect
Mexico	08:30	Sky Sport
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	03:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	15:30	Viaplay
Pakistan	19:30	Tapmad
Peru	09:30	Disney+
Philippines	22:30	beIN Connect
Poland	15:30	Viaplay
South Korea	23:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Thailand	21:30	beIN Connect
Turkey	17:30	beIN Connect
Uruguay	11:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	ESPN App, ESPN+, Flow Sports 1, Flowsports.co
Venezuela	10:30	Disney+
Vietnam	21:30	ON Plus
International	14:30	Disney+, Onefootball


	Bochum		Freiburg

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	3.3	2.55
				Watch
	2.85	3.35	2.65
				Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.5	Watch
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.78)	3.32 ↓ (3.5)	2.57 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bochum
34.1%

Draw
28.8%

Freiburg
37.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.6%

27.5%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

28.8%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bochum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	21.4%	35.7%

Bochum - Freiburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Bochum will win (votes: 12 - 44.4%). Freiburg will win (votes: 9 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bochum: 25.7% – 63.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Drewes P. (G) 14. Oermann T. 20. Ordets I. 5. Bernardo 19. Bero M. 6. Sissoko I. 32. Wittek M. 21. Holtmann G. 10. de Wit D. 29. Broschinski M. 33. Hofmann P. (C)	1. Atubolu N. (G) 25. Sildillia K. 28. Ginter M. 3. Lienhart P. 30. Gunter C. (C) 8. Eggestein M. 27. Hofler N. 18. Dinkci E. 34. Rohl M. 32. Grifo V. 9. Holer L.
Substitutes
9. Boadu M. 2. Gamboa C. 1. Horn T. (G) 17. Krauss T. 8. Losilla A. 4. Masovic E. 13. Medic J. 23. Miyoshi K. 24. Pannewig M.	20. Adamu J. 42. Doan R. 38. Gregoritsch M. 33. Makengo J. 44. Manzambi J. 21. Muller F. (G) 6. Osterhage P. 26. Philipp M. 58. Sturm Y.
Coaches
Hecking D.	Schuster J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Sildillia K. ⚽, Gunter C. (A),
42', Bero M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Grifo V. ↓, Doan R. ↑,
63', Bernardo 🟨,
63', de Wit D. ↓, Krauss T. ↑,
63', Broschinski M. ↓, Boadu M. ↑,
64', Wittek M. ↓, Miyoshi K. ↑,
74', Atubolu N. 🟨,
77', Eggestein M. ↓, Osterhage P. ↑,
80', Oermann T. ↓, Pannewig M. ↑,
81', Hofler N. 🟨,
84', Sissoko I. 🟨,
90', Rohl M. ↓, Manzambi J. ↑,
90', Dinkci E. ↓, Gregoritsch M. ↑,
90+1', Holtmann G. ↓, Medic J. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bochum won 0.

Recent matches Bochum is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Freiburg is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Freiburg: Kubler L. (Yellow Cards) Kyereh D. (Knee Injury) Muslija F. (Ankle Injury) Ogbus B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Rosenfelder M. (Hip Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Bochum won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11:16 (average 1.1:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Bochum won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1.2:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Bochum
German Bundesliga
25.01.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bochum	3:0 ✺
18.01.25	Bochum - RB Leipzig	3:3 ✺
15.01.25	Bochum - St. Pauli	1:0 ✺
11.01.25	Mainz - Bochum	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.01.25	Bochum - Heracles Almelo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTWLW
- SC Freiburg
German Bundesliga
25.01.25	Freiburg - Bayern Munich	1:2 ✺
18.01.25	Stuttgart - Freiburg	4:0 ✺
14.01.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Freiburg	4:1 ✺
11.01.25	Freiburg - Holstein Kiel	3:2 ✺
21.12.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
14.09.24	Freiburg - Bochum	2:1
10.03.24	Bochum - Freiburg	1:2
21.10.23	Freiburg - Bochum	2:1
18.02.23	Bochum - Freiburg	0:2
26.08.22	Freiburg - Bochum	1:0
16.04.22	Freiburg - Bochum	3:0
German DFB Pokal
02.03.22	Bochum - Freiburg	1:2 ET

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