Match Info

GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 20

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Vonovia Ruhrstadion (Bochum)

Referee: Welz T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bochum		Freiburg

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	3.3	2.55
				Watch
	2.85	3.35	2.65
				Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.5	Watch
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.78)	3.32 ↓ (3.5)	2.57 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bochum
34.1%

Draw
28.8%

Freiburg
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

27.5%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

28.8%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bochum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	21.4%	35.7%

Bochum - Freiburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Bochum will win (votes: 12 - 44.4%). Freiburg will win (votes: 9 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bochum: 25.7% – 63.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Drewes P. (G) 14. Oermann T. 20. Ordets I. 5. Bernardo 19. Bero M. 6. Sissoko I. 32. Wittek M. 21. Holtmann G. 10. de Wit D. 29. Broschinski M. 33. Hofmann P. (C)	1. Atubolu N. (G) 25. Sildillia K. 28. Ginter M. 3. Lienhart P. 30. Gunter C. (C) 8. Eggestein M. 27. Hofler N. 18. Dinkci E. 34. Rohl M. 32. Grifo V. 9. Holer L.
Substitutes
9. Boadu M. 2. Gamboa C. 1. Horn T. (G) 17. Krauss T. 8. Losilla A. 4. Masovic E. 13. Medic J. 23. Miyoshi K. 24. Pannewig M.	20. Adamu J. 42. Doan R. 38. Gregoritsch M. 33. Makengo J. 44. Manzambi J. 21. Muller F. (G) 6. Osterhage P. 26. Philipp M. 58. Sturm Y.
Coaches
Hecking D.	Schuster J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Sildillia K. ⚽, Gunter C. (A),
42', Bero M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Grifo V. ↓, Doan R. ↑,
63', Bernardo 🟨,
63', de Wit D. ↓, Krauss T. ↑,
63', Broschinski M. ↓, Boadu M. ↑,
64', Wittek M. ↓, Miyoshi K. ↑,
74', Atubolu N. 🟨,
77', Eggestein M. ↓, Osterhage P. ↑,
80', Oermann T. ↓, Pannewig M. ↑,
81', Hofler N. 🟨,
84', Sissoko I. 🟨,
90', Rohl M. ↓, Manzambi J. ↑,
90', Dinkci E. ↓, Gregoritsch M. ↑,
90+1', Holtmann G. ↓, Medic J. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bochum won 0.

Recent matches Bochum is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Freiburg is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Freiburg: Kubler L. (Yellow Cards) Kyereh D. (Knee Injury) Muslija F. (Ankle Injury) Ogbus B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Rosenfelder M. (Hip Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Bochum won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11:16 (average 1.1:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Bochum won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1.2:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Bochum
German Bundesliga
25.01.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bochum	3:0 ✺
18.01.25	Bochum - RB Leipzig	3:3 ✺
15.01.25	Bochum - St. Pauli	1:0 ✺
11.01.25	Mainz - Bochum	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.01.25	Bochum - Heracles Almelo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTWLW
- SC Freiburg
German Bundesliga
25.01.25	Freiburg - Bayern Munich	1:2 ✺
18.01.25	Stuttgart - Freiburg	4:0 ✺
14.01.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Freiburg	4:1 ✺
11.01.25	Freiburg - Holstein Kiel	3:2 ✺
21.12.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
14.09.24	Freiburg - Bochum	2:1
10.03.24	Bochum - Freiburg	1:2
21.10.23	Freiburg - Bochum	2:1
18.02.23	Bochum - Freiburg	0:2
26.08.22	Freiburg - Bochum	1:0
16.04.22	Freiburg - Bochum	3:0
German DFB Pokal
02.03.22	Bochum - Freiburg	1:2 ET

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