Match Info

Date: 7 October 2021, Thursday


	Bochum		NEC Nijmegen

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.6	3.7	4.75
	1.58	3.75	4.7	Watch
	1.66	3.5	4.1
	1.59	3.54	4.96
	1.66	3.4	4.4	Watch
	1.71	3.84	4.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.59)	3.62 ↓ (4.2)	4.6 ↑ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bochum
55.4%

Draw
25%

NEC Nijmegen
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

21.6%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

15.2%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bochum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bochum that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that NEC Nijmegen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bochum - NEC Nijmegen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Bochum has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Nijmegen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Bochum is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Bochum
German Bundesliga
02.10.21	RB Leipzig - Bochum	3:0 ✺
26.09.21	Bochum - Stuttgart	0:0 ✺
18.09.21	Bayern Munich - Bochum	7:0 ✺
12.09.21	Bochum - Hertha Berlin	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
02.09.21	Bochum - Go Ahead Eagles	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLL
- NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eredivisie
02.10.21	Fortuna Sittard - NEC Nijmegen	1:3 ✺
25.09.21	Feyenoord - NEC Nijmegen	5:3 ✺
22.09.21	NEC Nijmegen - Utrecht	0:3 ✺
17.09.21	Sparta Rotterdam - NEC Nijmegen	1:1 ✺
12.09.21	NEC Nijmegen - Willem II	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLLTT

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