The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
NEC Nijmegen 55%
Draw 24.4%
Utrecht 20.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.1%
25%
28.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.4%
24.8%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in NEC Nijmegen's performance.
Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Utrecht might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with NEC Nijmegen that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Utrecht could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
89.2%
8.1%
2.7%
NEC Nijmegen - Utrecht Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.75 - Nijmegen (1.87) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
NEC Nijmegen will win
(33 of 37 users predict this - 89.19%). Confidence interval (95%): 79.18% – 99.2%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): NEC Nijmegen will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Nijmegen (votes: 8 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Crettaz G. (G) 14. Dasa E. 4. Kaplan A. 3. Sandler P. 25. Ouaissa S. 6. Nejasmic D. 23. Sano K. 11. Onal B. 10. Chery T. (C) 20. Lebreton N. 30. Linssen B.
1. Barkas V. (G) 23. Vesterlund N. 40. Didden M. 24. Viergever N. (C) 16. El Karouani S. 27. Engwanda A. 20. de Wit D. 21. Zechiel G. 77. Alarcon A. 18. Stepanov A. 10. Cathline Y.
Substitutes
22. Cillessen J. (G) 9. Danilo Pereira 34. El Kachati Y. 24. Fonville D. 8. Hansen-Aaroen I. 7. Misidjan V. 18. Ogawa K. 5. Ouwejan T. 2. Pereira B. 71. Proper D. 15. Willems J. 19. Willumsson W. T.
5. Adiele E. 38. Agougil O. 15. Blake A. 8. Bozdogan C. 25. Brouwer M. (G) 17. Demircan E. 33. Gadellaa K. (G) 11. Karlsson J. 3. van der Hoorn M. 46. van Ommeren J. 53. Viereck N.
Coaches
Schreuder D.
Jans R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Alarcon A. ⚽, Zechiel G. (A),
25', Ouaissa S. 🟨,
32', Didden M. 🟨,
45', 0 - 2, Zechiel G. ⚽, Stepanov A. (A),
45', Sandler P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 0 - 3, Cathline Y. ⚽, El Karouani S. (A),
56', Stepanov A. ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
59', 1 - 3, Nejasmic D. ⚽,
59', Sandler P. ↓, Fonville D. ↑,
59', Nejasmic D. ↓, El Kachati Y. ↑,
60', Ouaissa S. ↓, Danilo Pereira ↑,
62', Karlsson J. 🟨,
73', Lebreton N. ↓, Ogawa K. ↑,
82', Linssen B. ↓, Willumsson W. T. ↑,
82', Alarcon A. ↓, van der Hoorn M. ↑,
89', Kaplan A. 🟨,
90+1', Engwanda A. ↓, Agougil O. ↑,
90+2', Cathline Y. ↓, Blake A. ↑,
Preview
Postponed due to bad weather.
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 2.
Nijmegen is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Utrecht's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Nijmegen could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Nijmegen: El Kachati Y.
(Wrist Injury)
Entius F.
(Knee Injury)
Linssen B.
(Yellow Cards)
Nuytinck B.
(Knee Injury)
Ouaissa S.
(Red Card)
Ouwejan T.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Utrecht: Haller S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Iqbal Z.
(Inactive)
Min D.
(Injury)
van den Berg D.
(Injury)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 0.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.3:1.3).
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Crettaz G. (G) 
Dasa E. 
Kaplan A. 
Sandler P. 
Nejasmic D. 
Sano K. 
Chery T. (C) 
Lebreton N. 
Barkas V. (G) 
Vesterlund N. 
Didden M. 
El Karouani S. 
Stepanov A. 
Danilo Pereira 
Fonville D. 
Hansen-Aaroen I. 
Willumsson W. T. 
Adiele E. 
Bozdogan C. 
Karlsson J. 
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