Match Info

GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 10

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Weserstadion (Bremen)

Referee: Storks S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Werder Bremen		Holstein Kiel

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.33	4.5	Watch
	1.65	4.2	4.75
	1.68	4.35	4.75	Watch
	1.68	4.3	4.93
	1.72	4.12	4.83	Watch
	1.65	4.2	4.75	Watch
	1.7	4.46	4.94	Watch
	1.68	4.35	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.59)	4.29 ↓ (4.58)	4.78 ↓ (5.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Werder Bremen
57.4%

Draw
22.4%

Holstein Kiel
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

20.9%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

20.3%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Werder Bremen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.2%	11.1%	16.7%

Werder Bremen - Holstein Kiel Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Werder will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Werder: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zetterer M. (G) 13. Veljkovic M. 32. Friedl M. (C) 3. Jung A. 27. Agu F. 6. Stage J. 14. Lynen S. 19. Kohn D. 11. Njinmah J. 20. Schmid R. 7. Ducksch M.	1. Weiner T. (G) 6. Ivezic M. 4. Erras P. 14. Geschwill M. 17. Becker T. (C) 24. Knudsen M. 27. Puchacz T. 37. Gigovic A. 22. Remberg N. 19. Harres P. 7. Skrzybski S.
Substitutes
28. Alvero S. 30. Backhaus M. (G) 10. Bittencourt L. 15. Burke O. 2. Deman O. 22. Malatini J. 5. Pieper A. 4. Stark N. 42. Topp K.	20. Arp J.-F. 21. Dahne T. (G) 10. Holtby L. 33. Javorcek D. 3. Komenda M. 18. Machino S. 8. Porath F. 23. Rosenboom L. 15. Schulz M.
Coaches
Werner O.	Rapp M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Friedl M. 🟨,
30', Stage J. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Stage J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Stage J. ↓, Bittencourt L. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Harres P. ⚽, Geschwill M. (A),
50', Lynen S. 🟨,
62', Gigovic A. ↓, Porath F. ↑,
66', Njinmah J. ↓, Topp K. ↑,
68', Ivezic M. 🟨,
72', Puchacz T. ↓, Machino S. ↑,
72', Skrzybski S. ↓, Holtby L. ↑,
78', Ducksch M. ↓, Burke O. ↑,
78', Friedl M. ↓, Stark N. ↑,
85', Harres P. ↓, Arp J.-F. ↑,
88', Kohn D. ↓, Deman O. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Burke O. ⚽, Topp K. (A),
90+3', Knudsen M. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).

Recent matches Werder is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Holstein Kiel is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Werder is a favorite.

There will not play in Werder: Grull M. (Thigh Injury) Keita N. (Injury) Weiser M. (Red Card)

There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Johansson C. (Concussion) Kelati A. Y. (Knee Injury) Kleine-Bekel C. (Surgery)

There are questionable in Werder: Alvero S. (Knee Injury) Stark N. (Hip Injury)

There are questionable in Holstein Kiel: Bernhardsson A. (Hip Injury) Holtby L. (Back Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Werder won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1.5:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Werder won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Werder Bremen
German Bundesliga
03.11.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Werder Bremen	4:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
30.10.24	Paderborn - Werder Bremen	0:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
26.10.24	Werder Bremen - Bayer Leverkusen	2:2 ✺
20.10.24	Wolfsburg - Werder Bremen	2:4 ✺
05.10.24	Werder Bremen - Freiburg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LWTWL
- Holstein Kiel
German Bundesliga
02.11.24	Holstein Kiel - Heidenheim	1:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.24	Köln - Holstein Kiel	3:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
26.10.24	Stuttgart - Holstein Kiel	2:1 ✺
20.10.24	Holstein Kiel - Union Berlin	0:2 ✺
05.10.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Holstein Kiel	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.5 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
29.04.22	Werder Bremen - Holstein Kiel	2:3
27.11.21	Holstein Kiel - Werder Bremen	2:1

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