Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 14

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Weserstadion (Bremen)

Referee: Hartmann R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Werder Bremen		Stuttgart

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.75	2.4	Watch
	2.72	3.7	2.42	Watch
	2.82	3.73	2.47
	2.78	3.73	2.38	Watch
	2.75	3.5	2.3	Watch
	2.97	3.82	2.4	Watch
	2.85	3.6	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (2.87)	3.69 ↓ (4)	2.39 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Werder Bremen
34.1%

Draw
25.9%

Stuttgart
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

23.7%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

23.7%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Stuttgart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	17.9%	39.3%

Werder Bremen - Stuttgart Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Werder will win (votes: 12 - 44.4%). Stuttgart will win (votes: 10 - 37%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 18.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Werder: 25.7% – 63.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Werder (votes: 4 - 40%). Stuttgart (votes: 4 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH 0 - Werder (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Stuttgart (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Werder (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Stuttgart (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Backhaus M. (G) 3. Sugawara Y. 5. Pieper A. 31. Coulibaly K. 32. Friedl M. (C) 14. Lynen S. 6. Stage J. 11. Njinmah J. 20. Schmid R. 7. Mbangula S. 17. Grull M.	33. Nubel A. (G) 29. Jeltsch F. 24. Chabot J. 3. Hendriks R. 4. Vagnoman J. 16. Karazor A. (C) 6. Stiller A. 18. Leweling J. 11. El Khannouss B. 28. Nartey N. 26. Undav D.
Substitutes
28. Alvero S. 10. Bittencourt L. 24. Covic P. 2. Deman O. 13. Hein K. (G) 18. Puertas C. 23. Schmidt I. 4. Stark N. 9. Topp K.	2. Al Dakhil A. 30. Andres C. 27. Bouanani B. 1. Bredlow F. (G) 10. Fuhrich C. 7. Mittelstadt M. 15. Stenzel P. 20. Stergiou L. 8. Tomas T.
Coaches
Steffen H.	Hoeness S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', Coulibaly K. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, El Khannouss B. ⚽, Leweling J. (A),
44', 0 - 2, Leweling J. ⚽, Jeltsch F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', Friedl M. ↓, Stark N. ↑,
59', Coulibaly K. 🟨,
64', Mbangula S. ↓, Schmidt I. ↑,
64', Grull M. ↓, Topp K. ↑,
76', Nartey N. ↓, Tomas T. ↑,
77', El Khannouss B. ↓, Fuhrich C. ↑,
77', Njinmah J. ↓, Bittencourt L. ↑,
77', Lynen S. ↓, Puertas C. ↑,
79', 0 - 3, Undav D. ⚽, Leweling J. (A),
82', Leweling J. ↓, Mittelstadt M. ↑,
89', Undav D. ↓, Bouanani B. ↑,
90', Jeltsch F. ↓, Al Dakhil A. ↑,
90+7', 0 - 4, Fuhrich C. ⚽, Mittelstadt M. (A),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Werder won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Stuttgart may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Werder: Agu F. (Ankle Injury) Boniface V. (Knee Injury) Deman O. (Ankle Injury) Malatini J. (Thigh Injury) Weiser M. (Knee Injury) Wober M. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Stuttgart: Assignon L. (Red Card) Demirovic E. (Foot Injury) Diehl J. (Ankle Injury) Jaquez L. (Muscle Injury) Keitel Y. (Thigh Injury) Silas (Ankle Injury) Zagadou D. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Werder won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 33:27. (average 1.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Werder won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:13. (average 2:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Stuttgart - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 43.17%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Werder Bremen
German Bundesliga
07.12.25	Hamburger SV - Werder Bremen	3:2 ✺
29.11.25	Werder Bremen - Köln	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	RB Leipzig - Werder Bremen	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	Werder Bremen - Wolfsburg	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Mainz - Werder Bremen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTLWT
- VfB Stuttgart
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Stuttgart - Maccabi Tel Aviv	4:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
06.12.25	Stuttgart - Bayern Munich	0:5 ✺
German DFB Pokal
03.12.25	Bochum - Stuttgart	0:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
30.11.25	Hamburger SV - Stuttgart	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Go Ahead Eagles - Stuttgart	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
13.04.25	Stuttgart - Werder Bremen	1:2
30.11.24	Werder Bremen - Stuttgart	2:2
21.04.24	Werder Bremen - Stuttgart	2:1
02.12.23	Stuttgart - Werder Bremen	2:0
05.02.23	Stuttgart - Werder Bremen	0:2
13.08.22	Werder Bremen - Stuttgart	2:2
04.04.21	Stuttgart - Werder Bremen	1:0

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