Match Info

GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 6

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Vonovia Ruhrstadion (Bochum)

Referee: Burda M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport App
Asia	TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1
Canada	DAZN Canada
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Extra 3
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Japan	SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 8
Laos	beIN Connect
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Viaplay
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Thailand	beIN Connect
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 4
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15
World	Disney+, Onefootball app


	Bochum		Wolfsburg

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.7	2.15	Watch
	3	3.7	2.2
	3.1	3.75	2.2	Watch
	3.18	3.75	2.24
	3.15	3.71	2.26	Watch
	3.1	3.6	2.2	Watch
	3.22	3.89	2.23	Watch
	3.1	3.7	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (3.04)	3.73 ↑ (3.71)	2.21 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bochum
30.8%

Draw
25.8%

Wolfsburg
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

25.8%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

26.2%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bochum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Wolfsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Bochum - Wolfsburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Bochum will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Wolfsburg will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wolfsburg: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Drewes P. (G) 15. Passlack F. 13. Medic J. 20. Ordets I. 32. Wittek M. 6. Sissoko I. 8. Losilla A. (C) 19. Bero M. 10. de Wit D. 9. Boadu M. 33. Hofmann P.	1. Grabara K. (G) 20. Baku R. 3. Bornauw S. 18. Vavro D. 4. Koulierakis K. 11. Tomas T. 6. Vranckx A. 27. Arnold M. (C) 16. Kaminski J. 23. Wind J. 9. Amoura M.
Substitutes
22. Balde A. 29. Broschinski M. 7. Daschner L. 2. Gamboa C. 1. Horn T. (G) 11. Kwarteng M. 23. Miyoshi K. 14. Oermann T. 24. Pannewig M.	17. Behrens K. 24. Dardai B. 2. Fischer K. 31. Gerhardt Y. 21. Maehle J. 29. Muller M. (G) 8. Ozcan S. 39. Wimmer P. 5. Zesiger C.
Coaches
Zeidler P.	Hasenhuttl R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, Tomas T. ⚽, Amoura M. (A),
37', 0 - 2, Wind J. ⚽,
38', Wind J. 🟨,
38', Medic J. 🟨,
38', Zeidler P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Amoura M. 🟨,
60', Losilla A. ↓, Broschinski M. ↑,
60', de Wit D. ↓, Daschner L. ↑,
72', 1 - 2, Boadu M. ⚽, Broschinski M. (A),
73', Tomas T. ↓, Wimmer P. ↑,
73', Baku R. ↓, Fischer K. ↑,
79', Vranckx A. ↓, Ozcan S. ↑,
79', Kaminski J. ↓, Gerhardt Y. ↑,
88', Ordets I. ↓, Balde A. ↑,
88', Boadu M. ↓, Miyoshi K. ↑,
88', Wind J. (Pen),
88', 1 - 3, Wind J. ⚽,
90+4', Amoura M. ↓, Maehle J. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bochum won 2.

Bochum is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Wolfsburg is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bochum could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Wolfsburg will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Bochum: Bernardo (Knee Injury) Tolba M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Wolfsburg: Bialek B. (Knee Injury) Fischer K. (Knee Injury) Majer L. (Ankle Injury) Nmecha L. (Muscle Injury) Paredes K. (Ankle Injury) Rogerio (Knee Injury) Svanberg M. (Ankle Injury) Wimmer P. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Bochum: Boadu M. (Illness) Ordets I. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Amoura M. (Muscle Injury) Maehle J. (Ankle Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Bochum won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:13 (average 1.1:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Bochum won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:7 (average 2:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Bochum
German Bundesliga
27.09.24	Borussia Dortmund - Bochum	4:2 ✺
21.09.24	Bochum - Holstein Kiel	2:2 ✺
14.09.24	Freiburg - Bochum	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.09.24	Bochum - Rot-Weiß Essen	3:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
31.08.24	Bochum - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLWL
- VfL Wolfsburg
German Bundesliga
28.09.24	Wolfsburg - Stuttgart	2:2 ✺
22.09.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Wolfsburg	4:3 ✺
14.09.24	Wolfsburg - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
06.09.24	Wolfsburg - Hannover	2:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
31.08.24	Holstein Kiel - Wolfsburg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
20.04.24	Wolfsburg - Bochum	1:0
02.12.23	Bochum - Wolfsburg	3:1
22.04.23	Bochum - Wolfsburg	1:5
29.10.22	Wolfsburg - Bochum	4:0
09.01.22	Bochum - Wolfsburg	1:0
14.08.21	Wolfsburg - Bochum	1:0
Club Friendly
18.07.14	Bochum - Wolfsburg	3:1

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