Match Info

Date: 10 March 2022, Thursday


	Vitesse		Roma

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.6	1.85
	4.1	3.6	1.8
	4.2	3.75	1.85
	4.1	3.7	1.83
	4.38	3.82	1.83
	3.4	3.4	1.95
	4.35	3.92	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.1 ↑ (3.38)	3.68 ↑ (3.68)	1.85 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitesse
23.1%

Draw
25.7%

Roma
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

25.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

17.3%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (+18.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitesse, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-19.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.3%	9%	84.7%

Vitesse - Roma Predictions

Users Predictions: Roma will win (94 of 111 users predict this - 84.68%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.98% – 91.38%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

1st leg.

Vitesse was already of round of 16, has a chance of qtrs (18%), has a small chance of semis (6%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Roma was already of round of 16, has a good chance of qtrs (82%), has a good chance of semis (52%), has a chance of final (31%), has a chance of win league (17%).

This event has quality 62, importance 66, match rating 64. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Vitesse could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Roma is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitesse Arnhem
Dutch Eredivisie
04.03.22	Vitesse - Sparta Rotterdam	0:1 ✺
27.02.22	Vitesse - NEC Nijmegen	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.02.22	Vitesse - Rapid Wien	2:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
20.02.22	Utrecht - Vitesse	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.02.22	Rapid Wien - Vitesse	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWTL
- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
05.03.22	Roma - Atalanta	1:0 ✺
27.02.22	Spezia - Roma	0:1 ✺
19.02.22	Roma - Verona	2:2 ✺
13.02.22	Sassuolo - Roma	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
08.02.22	Inter Milan - Roma	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWTTL

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