Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 2 December 2023, Saturday


	Bolton Wanderers		Harrogate Town

	1	X	2
	1.36	5.25	7.5
	1.36	5.25	7.75
	1.33	5	8	Watch
	1.37	5.3	8.6
	1.37	5.22	7.61
	1.29	4.8	8
	1.36	5.1	7.7	Watch
	1.36	5.2	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.4)	5.14 ↑ (4.68)	7.8 ↑ (6.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bolton Wanderers
69.6%

Draw
18.3%

Harrogate Town
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

19.7%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

18.8%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Bolton Wanderers - Harrogate Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Bolton Wanderers will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baxter N. (G) 3. Iredale J. 5. Santos R. (C) 15. Forrester W. 2. Jones G. 22. Dempsey K. 16. Morley A. 27. Williams R. 7. Mendes Gomes C. 11. N'Lundulu D. 9. Bodvarsson J.	21. Mitchell J. (G) 20. Ramsay K. 15. O'Connor A. 6. Burrell W. 23. Foulds M. 22. Dooley S. 8. Cornelius D. 7. Thomson G. 9. Odoh A. 18. Muldoon J. 24. March J.
Substitutes
14. Adeboyejo V. 26. Ashworth Z. 10. Charles D. 12. Cogley J. 13. Coleman J. (G) 19. Maghoma P. 8. Sheehan J. 4. Thomason G. 18. Toal E.	10. Daly M. 4. Falkingham J. 30. Gibson L. 33. Ilesanmi E. 37. O'Boyle F. 19. Sivi J. 17. Sutton L. 13. Thomas L. (G) 34. Williams B.
Coaches
Evatt I.	Weaver S.

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Bolton in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Harrogate is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bolton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bolton is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Bolton to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bolton won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Bolton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bolton Wanderers
English League One
28.11.23	Oxford United - Bolton Wanderers	0:0 ✺
25.11.23	Bolton Wanderers - Exeter City	7:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
14.11.23	Stockport County - Bolton Wanderers	0:2 ✺
English League One
11.11.23	Bolton Wanderers - Blackpool	1:0 ✺
07.11.23	Shrewsbury Town - Bolton Wanderers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWWWW
- Harrogate Town
English League Two
28.11.23	Harrogate Town - Wrexham	2:2 ✺
25.11.23	Crawley Town - Harrogate Town	2:1 ✺
18.11.23	Harrogate Town - Swindon Town	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
14.11.23	Carlisle United - Harrogate Town	2:0 ✺
English League Two
11.11.23	Walsall - Harrogate Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
10.04.21	Bolton Wanderers - Harrogate Town	2:1
03.10.20	Harrogate Town - Bolton Wanderers	1:2

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