Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL CUP - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 29 August 2023, Tuesday

Location: Toughsheet Community Stadium (Bolton)

Referee: Martin S. (Eng)


	Bolton Wanderers		Middlesbrough

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2.3
	2.95	3.55	2.25
	2.95	3.66	2.32
	2.62	3.2	2.3
	2.93	3.66	2.28	Watch
	2.95	3.5	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.73)	3.5 (3.5)	2.29 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bolton Wanderers
32.2%

Draw
26.8%

Middlesbrough
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

26.8%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

27.3%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Bolton Wanderers - Middlesbrough Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Coleman J. (G) 15. Forrester W. 18. Toal E. 3. Iredale J. 2. Jones G. (C) 16. Morley A. 4. Thomason G. 8. Sheehan J. 26. Ashworth Z. 10. Charles D. 7. Mendes Gomes C.	23. Glover T. (G) 17. McNair P. 6. Fry D. 26. Lenihan D. (C) 27. Engel L. 25. Crooks M. 4. Barlaser D. 7. Hackney H. 21. Forss M. 9. Latte Lath E. 11. Jones I.
Substitutes
14. Adeboyejo V. 1. Baxter N. (G) 9. Bodvarsson J. 12. Cogley J. 22. Dempsey K. 35. Jerome C. 19. Maghoma P. 11. N'Lundulu D. 27. Williams R.	57. Akono Bilongo B. 19. Coburn J. 14. Gilbert A. 16. Howson J. 32. Jones J. (G) 8. McGree R. 20. Payero M. 10. Rogers M. 18. Silvera S.
Coaches
Evatt I.	Carrick M.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bolton won 0.

Bolton is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Middlesbrough is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Middlesbrough could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Bolton: Johnston G. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Middlesbrough: Clarke M. (Back Injury) Dijksteel A. (Injury) Smith T. (Red Card)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Bolton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 7-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Bolton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bolton Wanderers
English League One
26.08.23	Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
19.08.23	Bolton Wanderers - Wigan Athletic	0:4 ✺
15.08.23	Bolton Wanderers - Fleetwood Town	3:1 ✺
12.08.23	Cheltenham Town - Bolton Wanderers	0:3 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.23	Bolton Wanderers - Barrow	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLWWW
- Middlesbrough FC
English League Championship
26.08.23	West Bromwich Albion - Middlesbrough	4:2 ✺
19.08.23	Middlesbrough - Huddersfield Town	1:1 ✺
12.08.23	Coventry City - Middlesbrough	3:0 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.23	Huddersfield Town - Middlesbrough	2:3 ✺
English League Championship
05.08.23	Middlesbrough - Millwall	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
09.04.19	Bolton Wanderers - Middlesbrough	0:2
19.09.18	Middlesbrough - Bolton Wanderers	2:0
26.12.17	Middlesbrough - Bolton Wanderers	2:0
09.09.17	Bolton Wanderers - Middlesbrough	0:3
16.04.16	Bolton Wanderers - Middlesbrough	1:2
15.08.15	Middlesbrough - Bolton Wanderers	3:0
24.02.15	Middlesbrough - Bolton Wanderers	1:0

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