Match Info

Championship - Round 12

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday

Location: Toughsheet Community Stadium (Bolton)

Referee: Hooper S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport OTT 3, SupeSport ESPN 2
Albania	SuperSport 4
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Mix
Bolivia	ESPN 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN 5
Colombia	ESPN 5, ESPN 7
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN 5
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Mix, WOW
Iceland	Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	NOW
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	SuperSport 4
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport OTT 3, SupeSport ESPN 2
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Paraguay	ESPN 5
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 5, ESPN 7
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	mio Sports 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-africa	SuperSport OTT 3, SupeSport ESPN 2
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Mix
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 5, Inter


	Bolton Wanderers		Middlesbrough

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.2	1.53	Watch
	5.00	4.50	1.58
	4.97	4.37	1.59
	5.15	4.54	1.61
	5.1	4.24	1.6	Watch
	4.9	4.45	1.59
	4.88	4.33	1.58	Watch
	5	4.5	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.03 ↑ (4.14)	4.39 ↑ (3.9)	1.58 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bolton Wanderers
18.7%

Draw
21.5%

Middlesbrough
59.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.6%

23.9%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

23.5%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Middlesbrough's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Middlesbrough, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Bolton Wanderers - Middlesbrough Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 1 - 100%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Middlesbrough (1.60) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 15th and 3rd in the Promotion - Championship Playoffs - Semi - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 0.

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

Middlesbrough carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Bolton has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:26 (averaging 0.6:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bolton against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 7:15 goals (averaging 1:2.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Middlesbrough	11	6	4	1	22:16	6	22
15	Bolton	11	4	2	5	15:18	-3	14

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Middlesbrough: 12.89% Bolton: 0.73%

Last Results with these Odds

Middlesbrough - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 53.49%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bolton Wanderers
English League Championship
17.10.26	Southampton - Bolton Wanderers	0:0 ✺
13.10.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Bolton Wanderers	1:3 ✺
10.10.26	Bolton Wanderers - Stoke City	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Norwich City - Bolton Wanderers	3:4 ✺
12.09.26	Bolton Wanderers - Cardiff City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.4 TWLWW
- Middlesbrough FC
English League Championship
17.10.26	Middlesbrough - Cardiff City	2:2 ✺
13.10.26	Stoke City - Middlesbrough	2:3 ✺
10.10.26	Middlesbrough - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Birmingham City - Middlesbrough	2:2 ✺
15.09.26	Middlesbrough - Millwall	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
29.08.23	Bolton Wanderers - Middlesbrough	1:3
English League Championship
09.04.19	Bolton Wanderers - Middlesbrough	0:2
19.09.18	Middlesbrough - Bolton Wanderers	2:0
26.12.17	Middlesbrough - Bolton Wanderers	2:0
09.09.17	Bolton Wanderers - Middlesbrough	0:3
16.04.16	Bolton Wanderers - Middlesbrough	1:2
15.08.15	Middlesbrough - Bolton Wanderers	3:0

Bolton Wanderers - Middlesbrough: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide