The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bolton Wanderers 45.2%
Draw 30.6%
Scunthorpe United 24.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.9%
27.4%
24.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.5%
18.6%
36.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Scunthorpe United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-12.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bolton Wanderers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Scunthorpe United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
64.5%
9.7%
25.8%
Bolton Wanderers - Scunthorpe United Predictions
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 20 - 64.5%). Scunthorpe will win (votes: 8 - 25.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 47.7% – 81.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 16).
Bolton has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (18%), has a small chance of promoted (9%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Scunthorpe has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (4%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Bolton in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Scunthorpe is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Bolton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Bolton will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Bolton won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Bolton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
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