The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bolton Wanderers 26.4%
Draw 27.6%
Ipswich Town 46%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.9%
27.7%
44.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.3%
27.1%
45.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
58.3%
8.3%
33.3%
Bolton Wanderers - Ipswich Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Ipswich will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 30.4% – 86.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs)).
Bolton has the most likely position - 5 (26.86%), has project points - 81, has currently - 63, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (73%), has a chance of promoted (20%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Ipswich has the most likely position - 3 (39.12%), has project points - 89, has currently - 69, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (77%), has a chance of promoted (43%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
This event has quality38, importance45, match rating41. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Bolton won 2.
Recent matches Bolton is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Ipswich is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Ipswich could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Bolton have a series of guest games.
Ipswich will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Bolton won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 14-23.
Including matches at home between the teams Bolton won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-13.
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