Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 22 August 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Hernando Siles (La Paz)

Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Germany	Sport 1+
Portugal	Sport TV


	Bolívar		Internacional RS

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.8	4.75	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4.6
	1.78	3.55	4.8
	1.75	3.67	5.17
	1.8	3.2	3.9
	1.74	3.64	4.8	Watch
	1.76	3.6	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.88)	3.55 ↑ (3.43)	4.67 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bolívar
53.4%

Draw
26.5%

Internacional RS
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

27.1%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

26.6%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Internacional RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.5%	6.4%	2.1%

Bolívar - Internacional RS Predictions

Users Predictions: Bolívar will win (43 of 47 users predict this - 91.49%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.51% – 99.47%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lampe C. (G) 3. Bentaberry B. 22. Ferreyra N. 4. Sagredo J. 8. Bejarano Di. 15. Villamil G. 23. Justiniano L. (C) 17. Rodriguez P. 10. Bruno Savio 9. Fernandez R. 19. Da Costa F.	33. Rochet S. (G) 22. Hernandez N. 44. Vitao 25. Mercado G. 16. Bustos F. 11. Wanderson 30. Johnny 20. Aranguiz C. 6. Rene 10. Alan Patrick (C) 13. Valencia E.
Substitutes
18. Algaranaz C. 28. Arancibia A. (G) 12. Cordano R. (G) 13. Herrera J. 29. Paz L. 5. Quinteros J. 14. Rocha Y. 2. Sagredo J. 20. Saucedo F. 24. Uzeda J. 11. Vaca R. 16. Villarroel M.	8. Bruno Henrique 14. de Pena C. 23. Gabriel 21. Igor Gomes 1. Keiller (G) 45. Lucca 9. Luiz Adriano 2. Mallo H. 41. Matheus Dias 27. Mauricio 28. Pedro Henrique 36. Thauan Lara
Coaches
San Jose B.	Coudet E.

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Bolívar is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Internacional is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bolívar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bolívar is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bolívar La Paz
Bolivian Division Profesional
18.08.23	Bolívar - Libertad Gran Mamoré	3:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
15.08.23	Bolívar - Jorge Wilstermann	2:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
12.08.23	Aurora - Bolívar	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.08.23	Athletico Paranaense - Bolívar	2:1 penalties ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
04.08.23	Bolívar - Blooming	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLLW
- Internacional RS
Brazilian Serie A
19.08.23	Internacional RS - Fortaleza	0:1 ✺
12.08.23	Botafogo RJ - Internacional RS	3:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.08.23	Internacional RS - River Plate Montevideo	3:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie A
05.08.23	Internacional RS - Corinthians	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
01.08.23	River Plate Montevideo - Internacional RS	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWTL

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