Match Info

Date: 20 March 2022, Sunday


	Bordeaux		Montpellier

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.6	2.8	Watch
	2.37	3.4	2.9
	2.45	3.5	2.8	Watch
	2.38	3.35	2.95
	2.45	3.5	3.05
	2.4	3.4	2.88	Watch
	2.46	3.55	2.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.41)	3.47 ↓ (3.53)	2.89 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bordeaux
39.5%

Draw
27.5%

Montpellier
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

26.9%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

19%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bordeaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bordeaux that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montpellier could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bordeaux - Montpellier Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 11).

Bordeaux has the most likely position - 20 (38.38%), has project points - 33, has currently - 22, has a good chance of relegated (69%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Montpellier has the most likely position - 11 (22.6%), has project points - 50, has currently - 38, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 50, small importance 27, match rating 39. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bordeaux won 0.

The competitors look crappy now.

Bordeaux could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Bordeaux won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 27-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Bordeaux won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girondins de Bordeaux
French Ligue 1
13.03.22	Paris Saint-Germain - Bordeaux	3:0 ✺
06.03.22	Bordeaux - Troyes	0:2 ✺
27.02.22	Clermont - Bordeaux	1:1 ✺
20.02.22	Bordeaux - Monaco	1:1 ✺
13.02.22	Lens - Bordeaux	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLTTL
- Montpellier HSC
French Ligue 1
12.03.22	Montpellier - Nice	0:0 ✺
06.03.22	Nantes - Montpellier	2:0 ✺
25.02.22	Montpellier - Rennes	2:4 ✺
20.02.22	Lorient - Montpellier	0:1 ✺
12.02.22	Montpellier - Lille	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
22.09.21	Montpellier - Bordeaux	3:3
21.03.21	Montpellier - Bordeaux	3:1
07.11.20	Bordeaux - Montpellier	0:2
02.05.20	Montpellier - Bordeaux	Canceled
17.08.19	Bordeaux - Montpellier	1:1
Club Friendly
21.07.19	Bordeaux - Montpellier	2:1
French Ligue 1
05.03.19	Bordeaux - Montpellier	1:2

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