Match Info

FA Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Meadow Park (Borehamwood)

Referee: Humphries A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Boreham Wood		Burton Albion

	1	X	2
	1.62	4	4.5
	2.05	3.6	3.1
	1.68	4.15	4.7
	1.77	3.99	4.2	Watch
	1.7	3.75	4
	1.77	4.16	4.46	Watch
	1.64	4.2	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.08)	3.98 ↑ (3.59)	4.21 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boreham Wood
53.9%

Draw
23.7%

Burton Albion
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

26%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

25.4%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boreham Wood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boreham Wood's performance.

Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Burton Albion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boreham Wood than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boreham Wood that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Burton Albion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	11.8%	11.8%

Boreham Wood - Burton Albion Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Boreham Wood will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Burton will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boreham Wood: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Boreham Wood (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Boreham Wood will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Boreham Wood (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Curd T. (G) 2. Coxe C. 16. Reynolds C. 5. Bush Ch. (C) 12. Newton J. 6. O'Connell C. 23. Booty R. 20. Richardson L. 8. Brunt Z. 10. Abdulmalik A. 32. Rush M.	27. Dudek K. (G) 5. Vancooten T. 12. Evans G. 6. Sibbick T. 15. Lofthouse K. 41. Krubally S. 4. Chauke K. (C) 3. Armer J. 22. Larsson J. 29. Adom K. 19. Williams D.
Substitutes
17. Clayden C. 3. Ilesanmi F. 25. Kensdale O. 21. Marshall-Miranda M. 18. Norris L. 4. Payne J. 24. Robinson J.	14. Akoto N. 21. Amissah J. (G) 7. McKiernan J. J. 38. Newall J. 56. Scutt Z. 39. Taroni J. 11. Tavares F. 50. Williamson J.
Coaches
Garrard L.	Bowyer G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
28', Chauke K. 🟨,
32', Krubally S. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Lofthouse K. ⚽, Adom K. (A),
41', 0 - 2, O'Connell C. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
57', Williams D. 🟨,
60', Adom K. ↓, Tavares F. ↑,
61', Coxe C. ↓, Kensdale O. ↑,
61', Richardson L. ↓, Robinson J. ↑,
67', 0 - 3, Tavares F. ⚽,
74', Brunt Z. ↓, Norris L. ↑,
74', Reynolds C. ↓, Marshall-Miranda M. ↑,
75', Robinson J. 🟨,
77', Rush M. 🟨,
83', 0 - 4, Williams D. ⚽, Vancooten T. (A),
84', Larsson J. ↓, McKiernan J. J. ↑,
84', Krubally S. ↓, Taroni J. ↑,
84', Newton J. ↓, Clayden C. ↑,
87', Armer J. 🟨,
90+1', Evans G. ↓, Newall J. ↑,
90+1', Chauke K. ↓, Scutt Z. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 5, McKiernan J. J. ⚽, Lofthouse K. (A),

Preview

Boreham Wood is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Burton has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Boreham Wood may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Boreham Wood has had a series of home games.

Boreham Wood might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boreham Wood
English National League
30.12.25	Boreham Wood - Solihull Moors	2:1 ✺
26.12.25	Wealdstone - Boreham Wood	0:4 ✺
21.12.25	Boreham Wood - Carlisle United	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Boreham Wood - Brackley Town	3:4 penalties ✺
English FA Cup
07.12.25	Boreham Wood - Newport County	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWLW
- Burton Albion
English League One
04.01.26	Plymouth Argyle - Burton Albion	3:0 ✺
01.01.26	Reading - Burton Albion	2:0 ✺
29.12.25	Burton Albion - Wigan Athletic	0:2 ✺
26.12.25	Burton Albion - Northampton Town	5:1 ✺
20.12.25	Stevenage Borough - Burton Albion	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLLWT

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