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Current Win Probability
Borussia Dortmund 20.2%
Draw 22.5%
Manchester City 57.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.5%
22%
58.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.8%
21.2%
60.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
9.4%
17.3%
73.2%
Borussia Dortmund - Manchester City Predictions
Users Predictions:
127 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 12 - 9.4%). Man City will win (votes: 93 - 73.2%). It will Tie (votes: 22 - 17.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 65.5% – 80.9%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Man City is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Borussia D has currently - 7, has a small chance of 1st (9%), has a good chance of 2nd (89%), has a very small chance of 3rd (2%), has a very good chance of round of 16 (98%), has a chance of qtrs (46%), has a chance of semis (19%), has a small chance of final (7%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
Man City has currently - 10, has a good chance of 1st (91%), has a small chance of 2nd (9%), has not chance of 3rd, was already of round of 16, has a good chance of qtrs (81%), has a good chance of semis (59%), has a chance of final (40%), has a chance of win league (25%).
This event has big quality86, small importance19, match rating52. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Borussia D won 1.
Recent matches Borussia D is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Man City is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Borussia D could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Man City is a favorite.
There will not play in Borussia D: Bynoe-Gittens J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Dahoud M.
(Shoulder Injury)
Haller S.
(Illness)
Meunier T.
(Injury)
Morey Bauza M.
(Knee Injury)
Ozcan S.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Man City: Gomez S.
(Red Card)
Mendy B.
(Suspended)
Phillips K.
(Shoulder Injury)
Walker K.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Borussia D: Guerreiro R.
(Injury)
Hummels M.
(Injury)
Malen D.
(Illness)
Reus M.
(Ankle Injury)
Schlotterbeck N.
(Calf Injury)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Borussia D won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Borussia D won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.
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