The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Borussia Dortmund 68.1%
Draw 18.7%
Sevilla 13.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.1%
21.9%
16.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.5%
21.4%
16.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Borussia Dortmund's performance.
Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Borussia Dortmund that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
81.6%
5.6%
12.8%
Borussia Dortmund - Sevilla Predictions
Users Predictions:
Borussia Dortmund will win
(160 of 196 users predict this - 81.63%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.21% โ 87.05%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Borussia D has currently - 6, has a small chance of 1st (9%), has a good chance of 2nd (89%), has a very small chance of 3rd (2%), has a very good chance of round of 16 (98%), has a chance of qtrs (46%), has a chance of semis (19%), has a small chance of final (7%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
Sevilla has currently - 1, has a very small chance of 1st (<1%), has a very small chance of 2nd (2%), has a good chance of 3rd (71%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (2%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has big quality73, small importance22, match rating47. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Borussia D is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Sevilla is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Borussia D is certain favorite.
There will not play in Borussia D: Bynoe-Gittens J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Dahoud M.
(Shoulder Injury)
Haller S.
(Illness)
Morey Bauza M.
(Knee Injury)
Reus M.
(Illness)
There will not play in Sevilla: Corona J.
(Ankle Injury)
Fernando
(Injury)
Rekik K.
(Thigh Injury)
Torres O.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Sevilla: Marcao
(Injury)
Last 3 head-to-head matches Borussia D won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Borussia D won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.