Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 13 March 2024, Wednesday

Location: Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund)

Referee: Orsato D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Ring
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	Sport 1
Italy	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Uno
Malaysia	Astro
Netherlands	RTL 7
Portugal	Eleven Sports 2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Borussia Dortmund		PSV Eindhoven

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.8	3.1
	2.1	3.8	3.1
	2.12	4	3.15	Watch
	2.16	3.92	3.23
	2.13	3.92	3.3
	2.1	3.9	3.1
	2.14	4.03	3.34
	2.13	3.9	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.08)	3.91 ↑ (3.8)	3.18 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Network on TV: Univision, TUDN

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund
45.2%

Draw
24.6%

PSV Eindhoven
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

25.1%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

24.8%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.4%	9.9%	6.6%

Borussia Dortmund - PSV Eindhoven Predictions

Users Predictions: Borussia Dortmund will win (126 of 151 users predict this - 83.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.51% – 89.37%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kobel G. (G) 23. Can E. (C) 25. Sule N. 15. Hummels M. 22. Maatsen I. 6. Ozcan S. 20. Sabitzer M. 21. Malen D. 19. Brandt J. 10. Sancho J. 14. Fullkrug N.	1. Benitez W. (G) 3. Teze J. 22. Schouten J. 18. Boscagli O. 8. Dest S. 20. Til G. 17. Mauro Junior 23. Veerman J. 11. Bakayoko J. 9. de Jong L. (C) 10. Tillman M.
Substitutes
27. Adeyemi K. 5. Bensebaini R. 43. Bynoe-Gittens J. 16. Duranville J. 35. Lotka M. (G) 33. Meyer A. (G) 18. Moukoko Y. 8. Nmecha F. 11. Reus M. 38. Watjen K. 17. Wolf M.	26. Babadi I. 6. Bella-Kotchap A. 16. Drommel J. (G) 31. Land T. 37. Ledezma R. 27. Lozano H. 4. Obispo A. 14. Pepi R. 5. Ramalho A. 2. Sambo S. 30. van Aanholt P. 24. Waterman B. (G)
Coaches
Terzic E.	Bosz P.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Recent matches Borussia D is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

PSV is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Borussia D have a series of guest games.

Borussia D will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Borussia D: Bamba S. (Muscle Injury) Haller S. (Ankle Injury) Schlotterbeck N. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in PSV: Lang N. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in PSV: Saibari I. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Borussia D won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Borussia D won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga
09.03.24	Werder Bremen - Borussia Dortmund	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund	0:2 ✺
25.02.24	Borussia Dortmund - Hoffenheim	2:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.02.24	PSV Eindhoven - Borussia Dortmund	1:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
17.02.24	Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLTT
- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie
08.03.24	Go Ahead Eagles - PSV Eindhoven	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	PSV Eindhoven - Feyenoord	2:2 ✺
24.02.24	Zwolle - PSV Eindhoven	1:7 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.02.24	PSV Eindhoven - Borussia Dortmund	1:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
16.02.24	PSV Eindhoven - Heracles Almelo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
20.02.24	PSV Eindhoven - Borussia Dortmund	1:1
Club Friendly
07.01.17	Borussia Dortmund - PSV Eindhoven	4:1

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