Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 21

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Borussia-Park (Mönchengladbach)

Referee: Dingert C. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Borussia Mönchengladbach		Bayer Leverkusen

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.7	1.95	Watch
	3.3	3.75	2.05
	3.55	3.7	1.98	Watch
	3.75	3.74	2.04
	3.75	3.73	2.02	Watch
	3.5	3.5	1.95	Watch
	3.78	3.78	2.06	Watch
	3.75	3.66	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (3.07)	3.7 ↓ (3.8)	2 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Mönchengladbach
26.3%

Draw
25.9%

Bayer Leverkusen
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

25%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

24.8%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Mönchengladbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6%	14%	80%

Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bayer Leverkusen Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Bayer Leverkusen will win (40 of 50 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.91% – 91.09%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayer Leverkusen will win (25 of 27 users predict this - 92.59%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nicolas M. (G) 16. Sander P. 30. Elvedi N. 4. Diks K. 17. Castrop J. 27. Reitz R. 6. Engelhardt Y. 7. Stoger K. 26. Ullrich L. 9. Honorat F. 15. Tabakovic H.	28. Blaswich J. (G) 4. Quansah J. 5. Bade L. 12. Tapsoba E. 13. Arthur 6. Fernandez E. 24. Garcia A. 20. Grimaldo A. 7. Hofmann J. 10. Tillman M. 14. Schick P.
Substitutes
38. Bolin H. 2. Chiarodia F. C. 18. Machino S. 36. Mohya W. 10. Neuhaus F. 23. Olschowsky J. (G) 8. Sarco A. 29. Scally J. 14. Takai K.	8. Andrich R. 35. Kofane C. 36. Lomb N. (G) 21. Lucas 18. Omlin J. (G) 25. Palacios E. 19. Poku E. 16. Tape A. 11. Terrier M.
Coaches
Polanski E.	Hjulmand K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Engelhardt Y. ⚽,
27', Diks K. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Sander P. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bade L. ↓, Poku E. ↑,
65', Fernandez E. ↓, Palacios E. ↑,
68', Stoger K. 🟨,
68', Palacios E. 🟨,
68', Tabakovic H. ↓, Sarco A. ↑,
78', Castrop J. ↓, Scally J. ↑,
79', Stoger K. ↓, Bolin H. ↑,
80', Hofmann J. ↓, Terrier M. ↑,
80', Schick P. ↓, Kofane C. ↑,
81', Hjulmand K. 🟨,
84', Terrier M. 🟨,
85', Schick P. 🟨,
88', Honorat F. ↓, Machino S. ↑,
88', Ullrich L. ↓, Chiarodia F. C. ↑,
88', Garcia A. ↓, Andrich R. ↑,
90+5', Polanski E. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia M won 0.

In recent matches, Borussia M has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bayer is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bayer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bayer might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Borussia M: Hack R. (Knee Injury) Kleindienst T. (Knee Injury) Ngoumou N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Reyna G. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Bayer: Ben Seghir E. (Ankle Injury) Flekken M. (Injury) Maza I. (Knee Injury) Tella N. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Borussia M won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 22:45. (average 1.1:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Borussia M won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 9:26. (average 0.9:2.6).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Bayer Leverkusen: 3.01% B. Monchengladbach: 0.17%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10:5	5	7
18	B. Monchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6:16	-10	0

Last Results with these Odds

Borussia Mönchengladbach - the odds 3.07 are the expected chance of winning is 30.97%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Mönchengladbach
German Bundesliga
31.01.26	Werder Bremen - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Stuttgart	0:3 ✺
17.01.26	Hamburger SV - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:0 ✺
14.01.26	Hoffenheim - Borussia Mönchengladbach	5:1 ✺
11.01.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Augsburg	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLTLW
- Bayer Leverkusen
German DFB Pokal
03.02.26	Bayer Leverkusen - St. Pauli	3:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
31.01.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayer Leverkusen	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Villarreal	3:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
24.01.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Werder Bremen	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.01.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Bayer Leverkusen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
21.09.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:1
18.01.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:1
23.08.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bayer Leverkusen	2:3
27.01.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:0
26.08.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bayer Leverkusen	0:3
21.05.23	Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:2
22.01.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bayer Leverkusen	2:3

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