Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Centenario (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Colombia	DSports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter


	Boston River		São Paulo

	1	X	2
	6.25	4.1	1.53	Watch
	5	3.6	1.68
	6.4	3.7	1.52	Watch
	6.92	3.82	1.54
	6.48	3.82	1.57	Watch
	6.5	3.5	1.53
	7.07	3.7	1.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.37 ↑ (4.77)	3.75 ↑ (3.55)	1.55 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston River
14.7%

Draw
25%

São Paulo
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

26.3%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

25.5%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston River has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São Paulo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Boston River - São Paulo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. São Paulo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Antunez B. (G) 15. Vazquez L. 23. Rivero M. 30. Gonzalez M. (C) 13. Fernandez I. 24. O'Neill Lopez J. S. 14. Dafonte F. 5. Barrios F. 10. Amado A. 32. Gonzalez Y. 8. Bonfiglio F.	23. Rafael (C) 21. Soares C. 28. Franco A. 4. Matheus Doria 13. Diaz E. 16. Bobadilla D. 94. Danielzinho 14. Tapia G. 80. Cauly 11. Ferreira 17. Andre Silva
Substitutes
31. Acosta J. 25. Aguirre A. 9. Gonzalez A. 12. Gonzalez J. (G) 17. Haller R. 20. Hornos M. 29. Lima A. 3. Mancebo M. 28. Martinicorena F. 21. Perez F. 11. Ramirez G. 2. Sotto K.	37. Artur 56. Bosshardt N. 31. Carlos Coronel (G) 34. dos Santos P. 33. Luan Silva 19. Lucas Ramon 54. Luis Osorio 8. Marcos Antonio 29. Pablo Maia 46. Pedro Ferreira 2. Toloi R. 18. Wendell
Coaches
Ithurralde I.	Roger Machado

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 0 - 1, Bobadilla D. ⚽, Ferreira (A),
61', Bonfiglio F. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
62', Gonzalez Y. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
68', Bobadilla D. ↓, Pablo Maia ↑,
68', Tapia G. ↓, Artur ↑,
69', Rivero M. ↓, Mancebo M. ↑,
69', Amado A. ↓, Ramirez G. ↑,
74', Ferreira ↓, dos Santos P. ↑,
74', Franco A. ↓, Toloi R. ↑,
79', Fernandez I. 🟨,
83', Dafonte F. ↓, Acosta J. ↑,
84', Rafael 🟨,
88', Cauly ↓, Pedro Ferreira ↑,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Boston River may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, São Paulo is a strong favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

São Paulo - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 54.12%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston River
Uruguayan Primera Division
03.04.26	Boston River - Montevideo Wanderers	4:1 ✺
30.03.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Boston River	1:2 ✺
25.03.26	Boston River - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Progreso - Boston River	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Boston River - Racing Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLWL
- São Paulo FC
Brazilian Serie A
04.04.26	São Paulo - Cruzeiro	4:1 ✺
01.04.26	Internacional RS - São Paulo	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	São Paulo - Palmeiras	0:1 ✺
18.03.26	Atlético Mineiro - São Paulo	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Red Bull Bragantino - São Paulo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTLLW

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