The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Juventud de Las Piedras 39.9%
Draw 30.2%
Boston River 29.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.9%
29.6%
29.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.9%
28.2%
28.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juventud de Las Piedras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Boston River has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.5%
12.5%
0%
Juventud de Las Piedras - Boston River Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Juventud will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Juventud: 64.6% โ 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Boston River (2.21) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
AH -1.5 - Juventud (4.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Juventud (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Boston River (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sosa S. (C) 2. Pernicone P. 4. Caceres M. 23. Mas E. 19. Cecchini E. 37. Peralta R. 8. Izaguirre M. 14. Roldan L. 26. Pereiro G. 7. Alaniz A. 80. Mimbacas F.
1. Antunez B. (G) 23. Rivero M. 30. Gonzalez M. (C) 13. Fernandez I. 16. Suhr L. 14. Dafonte F. 10. Amado A. 22. Martinez F. 99. Reyna G. 9. Gonzalez A. 32. Gonzalez Y.
Substitutes
27. Boselli J. 15. Cruz A. 30. Gomez G. 90. Guerrero S. 11. Lago P. 5. Morosini D. 21. Perez F. 16. Rabino R. 28. Risso F. 12. Rossi N. (G)
31. Acosta J. 25. Aguirre A. 5. Barrios F. 8. Bonfiglio F. 12. Gonzalez J. (G) 24. O'Neill Lopez J. S. 21. Perez F. 11. Ramirez G. 2. Sotto K. 15. Vazquez L.
Coaches
Mendez S.
Ithurralde I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Caceres M. ↓, Morosini D. ↑,
26', Pernicone P. 🟨,
31', Roldan L. 🟨,
32', Reyna G. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
45+2', Izaguirre M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', Martinez F. 🟨,
68', Pereiro G. ↓, Gomez G. ↑,
68', Izaguirre M. ↓, Risso F. ↑,
68', Fernandez I. ↓, Acosta J. ↑,
68', Dafonte F. ↓, Barrios F. ↑,
68', Gonzalez A. ↓, Bonfiglio F. ↑,
79', Alaniz A. ↓, Lago P. ↑,
80', Roldan L. ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
80', 1 - 0, Mimbacas F. ⚽,
82', 1 - 1, Suhr L. ⚽,
87', Gonzalez Y. ↓, Ramirez G. ↑,
90+1', Perez F. 🟨,
90+3', Morosini D. 🟨,
90+7', Morosini D. 🟨,
90+10', 1 - 2, Bonfiglio F. ⚽,
90+16', Mendez S. 🟥,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventud won 2.
Juventud is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Boston River has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Juventud may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Boston River has had a series of home games.
Juventud could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Juventud won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.2:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Juventud won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Juventud
9
3
5
1
10:6
4
14
11
Boston River
9
2
3
4
10:12
-2
9
Last Results with these Odds
Juventud de Las Piedras - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.86%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.